Rugby

Tennis

Tatjana Maria - Laura Samson: our prediction

21/04/2026•11:10

#45

Tatjana Maria

0:2

4•6

2•6

Finished

#155

Laura Samson

Tatjana Maria vs Laura Samson Preview — Madrid Open

Experienced Tatjana Maria faces young Laura Samson, the favorite despite her lack of Grand Slam data. The match is played in Madrid on clay. Recent statistics show both players have mixed form (40% wins in last 10 matches). No injuries reported. The match could be tight, with a slight edge for favorite Samson.

Our Tatjana Maria vs Laura Samson predictions

Laura Samson to win

Laura Samson is designated favorite by the bookmakers (odds 1.86 vs 1.89). Her statistics as a favorite are solid (87.5% wins in her last 8 matches as favorite). Tatjana Maria, although experienced, has a lower win rate (40% in last 10 matches) and is less effective as an outsider (30% wins). No injury disrupts the favorite.

1.73

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 sets (Match in 2 sets)

This is not a Grand Slam match (Madrid Open), so matches are best of 3 sets. Statistics show a strong trend towards 2-set matches for both players in this format: Tatjana Maria has 80% of her recent non-Grand Slam matches in 2 sets, Laura Samson 70%. When they are favorites, their percentages of matches in 2 sets remain high (70% for Maria, 50% for Samson). The probability of a 3-set match is therefore lower.

1.53

Confidence

High

Market signals on Tatjana Maria vs Laura Samson

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Tatjana Maria vs Laura Samson Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Tatjana Maria	Laura Samson
Win \| Lose	4 6	4 6
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	10%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	100%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	80%	87%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	100%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	71%	80%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	30%	10%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	33%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	0%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	60%	20%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	33%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	66%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	0%