Rugby

Tennis

Hailey Baptiste - Mirra Andreeva: our prediction

30/04/2026•16:05

#21

Hailey Baptiste

0:2

4•6

6•7

Finished

Mirra Andreeva

Hailey Baptiste vs Mirra Andreeva Preview — Madrid Open

Hailey Baptiste faces Mirra Andreeva in the first round of the Madrid Open. Andreeva is the heavy favorite with odds of 1.37, backed by a 90% win rate in her last 10 matches. Baptiste, the underdog, has a 70% win rate but will face a confident opponent.

Our Hailey Baptiste vs Mirra Andreeva predictions

Mirra Andreeva to win

Mirra Andreeva is in great form with 90% wins in her last 10 matches. She is the favorite and has a 100% win rate when favored. Baptiste, despite a good overall win rate (70%), has a lower win rate as an underdog (60%) and faces a clearly superior opponent.

1.46

Confidence

Very high

Under 2.5 sets in the match

Statistics show Andreeva has a 60% win rate in 2 sets (excluding Grand Slams). Baptiste has a 50% rate in 2 sets. The probability of the match ending in 2 sets is high, especially since Andreeva is the heavy favorite and should dominate.

1.53

Confidence

High

Under 22.5 games in the match

Andreeva has won 60% of her matches in 2 sets (excluding Grand Slams). Baptiste has a 50% rate in 2 sets. With Andreeva's expected dominance, the match should end quickly in 2 sets, implying under 22.5 games.

1.72

Confidence

High

Market signals on Hailey Baptiste vs Mirra Andreeva

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Hailey Baptiste vs Mirra Andreeva Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Hailey Baptiste	Mirra Andreeva
Win \| Lose	7 3	9 1
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	30%	10%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	55%	10%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	30%	42%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	70%	100%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	40%	100%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	0%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	60%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	33%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	75%	66%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	40%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	80%	80%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	66%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	100%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	80%