Rugby

Tennis

Alina Charaeva - Daria Kasatkina: our prediction

01/05/2026•11:10

#117

Alina Charaeva

1:2

6•4

0•6

4•6

Finished

Daria Kasatkina

Alina Charaeva vs Daria Kasatkina Preview — La Bisbal

Women's tennis match in La Bisbal between Alina Charaeva and Daria Kasatkina. Kasatkina is the favorite with odds of 1.43, while Charaeva is the underdog at 2.7. Statistics show Charaeva has a 60% win rate in her last 10 matches, compared to 50% for Kasatkina. However, Kasatkina has a better record and more experience.

Our Alina Charaeva vs Daria Kasatkina predictions

Victory of Daria Kasatkina

Kasatkina is the logical favorite with odds of 1.43. Although Charaeva has a 60% win rate in her last 10 matches, Kasatkina is higher ranked and more experienced. Additionally, Kasatkina has an 80% win rate when favored in the odds range 1.21-1.5, which matches this situation.

1.42

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 sets in the match

Charaeva has finished 60% of her matches in 2 sets (excluding Grand Slams), and Kasatkina 40%. However, when Kasatkina is favored, she finishes 40% of her matches in 2 sets. The trend is towards a 2-set match, especially since Kasatkina is favored and should win easily.

1.48

Confidence

High

Under 22.5 games in the match

Given that Kasatkina is favored and the match is expected to end in 2 sets, the total number of games should be under 22.5. Matches in 2 sets generally have fewer than 22.5 games, especially if Kasatkina dominates.

1.59

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Alina Charaeva vs Daria Kasatkina

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Alina Charaeva vs Daria Kasatkina Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Alina Charaeva	Daria Kasatkina
Win \| Lose	6 4	5 5
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	30%	40%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	50%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	10%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	80%	40%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	75%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	0%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	70%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	60%	25%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	80%	25%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	80%	70%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	100%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	80%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	80%	50%