Guy Den Ouden - Dali Blanch: our prediction

Although matches can be close, statistics show that Den Ouden finishes 70% of his non-Grand Slam matches in 2 sets, and Blanch 60%. Moreover, when Den Ouden is the favorite, he finishes 70% of his matches in 2 sets. The trend is therefore towards a 2-set match, which corresponds to under 2.5 sets.

Both players tend to play close matches. Den Ouden has played 3 sets in 30% of his non-Grand Slam matches, and Blanch in 40%. Moreover, Den Ouden often loses at least one set when he is the favorite (80% of the time), lengthening matches. With odds of 1.48 for over 22.5 games, the probability is high.

Blanch has an overall win rate of 60% in his last 10 matches, compared to 30% for Den Ouden. Moreover, as an underdog with odds between 1.21 and 1.5, Blanch has won 40% of his matches, while Den Ouden as a favorite in the same odds range has only won 40% of the time. Recent form and the ability to perform as an underdog favor Blanch.