Rugby

Tennis

Guy Den Ouden - Andrea Guerrieri: our prediction

07/04/2026•10:10

#100

Guy Den Ouden

0:2

4•6

2•6

Finished

#147

Andrea Guerrieri

Guy Den Ouden vs Andrea Guerrieri Preview — Monza

Guy Den Ouden, the odds favorite (1.55), faces Andrea Guerrieri (2.31) in a tournament in Monza. Den Ouden shows a strong tendency to win matches in 2 sets when favored (70%), while Guerrieri has more solid recent form (40% wins in last 10 matches vs. 20% for Den Ouden). No injuries reported.

Our Guy Den Ouden vs Andrea Guerrieri predictions

Guy Den Ouden to Win

Den Ouden is clearly favored (odds 1.55). His statistics as a favorite are solid: 70% wins in his last 10 matches in that role. Although his overall recent form is weak (20% wins), he performs well under favorite pressure. Guerrieri, although in better recent form (40% wins), has a low win rate as a favorite (33%) and is the underdog here.

1.76

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 Sets

Den Ouden, as a favorite, finishes 70% of his matches in 2 sets. Furthermore, Guerrieri, as an outsider, sees 60% of his matches end in 2 sets. The combined trend of both players in non-Grand Slam matches strongly points to a 2-set match (Den Ouden: 70%, Guerrieri: 50%). The probability of a 3-set match is lower.

1.5

Confidence

High

Market signals on Guy Den Ouden vs Andrea Guerrieri

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Guy Den Ouden vs Andrea Guerrieri Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Guy Den Ouden	Andrea Guerrieri
Win \| Lose	2 8	4 6
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	70%	33%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	71%	100%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	30%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	50%	100%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	33%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	25%	50%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	60%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	50%	100%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	33%	100%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	75%	50%