Guy Den Ouden vs Andrea Guerrieri — Prediction
07/04/2026
#100
Guy Den Ouden
10:00
Tomorrow
#245
Andrea Guerrieri
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X
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Match Preview
Guy Den Ouden, the odds favorite (1.55), faces Andrea Guerrieri (2.31) in a tournament in Monza. Den Ouden shows a strong tendency to win matches in 2 sets when favored (70%), while Guerrieri has more solid recent form (40% wins in last 10 matches vs. 20% for Den Ouden). No injuries reported.
Our predictions
Guy Den Ouden to Win
Den Ouden is clearly favored (odds 1.55). His statistics as a favorite are solid: 70% wins in his last 10 matches in that role. Although his overall recent form is weak (20% wins), he performs well under favorite pressure. Guerrieri, although in better recent form (40% wins), has a low win rate as a favorite (33%) and is the underdog here.
1.55
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 Sets
Den Ouden, as a favorite, finishes 70% of his matches in 2 sets. Furthermore, Guerrieri, as an outsider, sees 60% of his matches end in 2 sets. The combined trend of both players in non-Grand Slam matches strongly points to a 2-set match (Den Ouden: 70%, Guerrieri: 50%). The probability of a 3-set match is lower.
1.5
Confidence
High
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 2 8 | 4 6 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 33% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 71% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 50% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 33% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 25% | 50% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 50% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 33% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 75% | 50% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 66% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 50% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 57% | 0% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 100% |
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