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Madison Keys - Yulia Starodubtseva: our prediction

16/05/2026•14:25

Madison Keys

2:1

1•6

6•2

6•3

Finished

#42

Yulia Starodubtseva

Madison Keys vs Yulia Starodubtseva Preview — Paris

Madison Keys, the favorite, faces Yulia Starodubtseva. Keys has a 70% win rate in her last 10 matches, while Starodubtseva is at 60%. Keys is particularly strong as a favorite (70% wins) and often wins in 2 sets (60% of her matches). Starodubtseva, as an underdog, has a good win rate (50%) and often wins at least 1 set (80%). The match promises to be competitive.

Our Madison Keys vs Yulia Starodubtseva predictions

Under 22.5 games

With a high probability of the match ending in 2 sets, the total number of games should be under 22.5. Keys, as the favorite, tends to win quickly, and Starodubtseva, as the underdog, struggles to prolong matches.

1.56

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 sets

Madison Keys wins 60% of her matches in 2 sets, and 70% when favored. Starodubtseva, as an underdog, often loses in 2 sets (70% of her matches in 2 sets as an underdog). The match should end in 2 sets.

1.41

Confidence

High

Victory for Madison Keys

Madison Keys is the logical favorite with odds of 1.31. She has a 70% win rate in her last 10 matches, and 70% when favored. Starodubtseva, while competitive, only has a 50% win rate as an underdog. Keys should prevail.

1.3

Confidence

High

Market signals on Madison Keys vs Yulia Starodubtseva

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Madison Keys vs Yulia Starodubtseva Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Madison Keys	Yulia Starodubtseva
Win \| Lose	7 3	6 4
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	30%	50%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	30%	100%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	60%	40%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	70%	80%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	80%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	80%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	75%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	10%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	25%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	60%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	60%	80%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	75%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	75%	100%