Rugby

Tennis

Casper Ruud - Mariano Navone: our prediction

22/05/2026•14:10

Casper Ruud

0:2

5•7

2•6

Finished

#32

Mariano Navone

Casper Ruud vs Mariano Navone Preview — Geneva Open

Casper Ruud, favorite and clay court specialist, faces Mariano Navone at the Geneva Open. Ruud shows solid form with 80% recent wins, while Navone is more inconsistent. Ruud dominates as a favorite (90% wins) and should win in two sets.

Our Casper Ruud vs Mariano Navone predictions

Victory for Casper Ruud

Casper Ruud is the logical favorite with odds of 1.27. He has won 80% of his recent matches and 90% as a favorite. Navone, though solid as an underdog (40% wins), has less chance against a player of Ruud's caliber on clay.

1.27

Confidence

Very high

Under 2.5 sets

Statistically, Ruud finishes 90% of his non-Grand Slam matches in 2 sets. Navone, when an underdog, often loses in 2 sets (50% of matches). The combination favors a match in maximum 2 sets, so under 2.5 sets.

1.47

Confidence

High

Under 22.5 games

Ruud often wins in two sets (90% of his non-Grand Slam matches end in 2 sets). Navone also tends to lose quickly against favorites. With Ruud's expected dominance, the match should be short, under 22.5 games.

1.62

Confidence

High

Market signals on Casper Ruud vs Mariano Navone

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Casper Ruud vs Mariano Navone Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Casper Ruud	Mariano Navone
Win \| Lose	8 2	6 4
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	40%	30%
% of match in 4 sets or more	60%	70%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	40%	50%
% of match in 4 sets or more	60%	50%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	60%	22%
% of match in 4 sets or more	40%	77%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	90%	90%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	87%	100%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	75%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	20%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	33%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	33%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	50%	80%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	66%	80%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	66%

Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite

	1	2
Global	30%	50%
rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	37%	50%
rated between 1.51 and 1.80	0%	50%

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