Xinyu Gao - Darya Astakhova: our prediction
01/06/2026•16:10

#165

Xinyu Gao
0:2
4•6
1•6
Finished

#147

Darya Astakhova
-
1
-
X
-
2
Xinyu Gao vs Darya Astakhova Preview — Foggia
Women's tour match in Foggia between Xinyu Gao and Darya Astakhova. Gao is the favorite with odds of 1.5, but her recent form is poor (30% wins). Astakhova, the underdog at 2.41, has an even worse record (20% wins). Both players tend to play tight matches, with a high percentage of 2-set matches (60% for Gao, 70% for Astakhova).
Our Xinyu Gao vs Darya Astakhova predictions
Under 22.5 games
With a high probability of a 2-set match (60-70%), the total number of games should be under 22.5. 2-set matches rarely exceed this threshold, especially if the sets are competitive but quick.
1.61
Confidence
High
Victory for Xinyu Gao
Xinyu Gao is the favorite and has a better record as a favorite (50% wins) compared to Astakhova (42.86%). Additionally, Gao has a higher win rate as an underdog (30%) than Astakhova (20%). The odds of 1.5 are consistent with an implied probability of 66.67%.
1.57
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 sets
Both players have a high percentage of 2-set matches (60% for Gao, 70% for Astakhova). Statistics indicate a high probability of the match ending in straight sets.
1.45
Confidence
High
Market signals on Xinyu Gao vs Darya Astakhova
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Xinyu Gao vs Darya Astakhova Statistics
Win
Win | Lose | 3 7 | 2 8 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 42% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 50% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 25% | 60% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 75% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 20% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 33% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 33% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 66% | 33% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 71% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 50% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 75% | 60% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 50% | 100% |
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