Rugby

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Marco Trungelliti - Diego Dedura-Palomero: our prediction

05/06/2026

#63

Marco Trungelliti

15:00

Today

#198

Diego Dedura-Palomero

Marco Trungelliti vs Diego Dedura-Palomero Preview — Heilbronn

Match of the Heilbronn tournament between Marco Trungelliti and Diego Dedura-Palomero. Trungelliti is the favorite with odds at 1.5, but Dedura-Palomero has a good recent record (60% wins). The match is played on an unspecified surface, but statistics indicate a tendency for tight matches.

Our Marco Trungelliti vs Diego Dedura-Palomero predictions

Under 2.5 sets in the match

As mentioned, both players have a high percentage of matches ending in 2 sets (Trungelliti 40%, Dedura-Palomero 70% outside Grand Slams). This makes the bet 'under 2.5 sets' very likely. The odds of 1.5 are consistent with this analysis.

1.58

Confidence

High (65%)

Under 22.5 games in the match

Both players have a strong tendency to finish their matches in 2 sets (Trungelliti 40%, Dedura-Palomero 70% outside Grand Slams). A match in 2 sets usually means fewer than 22.5 games. Moreover, the odds of 1.5 are in line with this probability.

1.73

Confidence

High (65%)

Victory of Diego Dedura-Palomero

Although Trungelliti is the favorite, Dedura-Palomero has a better recent win percentage (60% vs 40%) and a tendency to win in 2 sets when an underdog (100% in 2 sets). The attractive odds of 2.44 offer good value.

2.47

Confidence

Medium (50%)

Market signals on Marco Trungelliti vs Diego Dedura-Palomero

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Marco Trungelliti vs Diego Dedura-Palomero Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Marco Trungelliti	Diego Dedura-Palomero
Win \| Lose	4 6	6 4
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	30%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	60%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	25%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	62%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	90%	80%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	75%	66%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	100%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	30%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	20%	28%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	33%	0%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	70%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	60%	28%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	66%	0%