James McCabe - Alexander Maarten Jong: our prediction
07/06/2026•16:15

#216

James McCabe
2:0
7•6
6•4
Finished

#176

Alexander Maarten Jong
-
1
-
X
-
2
James McCabe vs Alexander Maarten Jong Preview — Libema Open, Qualification
Libema Open qualification match between James McCabe, favorite with odds of 1.34, and Alexander Maarten Jong, underdog at 3.09. McCabe has a 40% win rate in his last 10 matches, but when favored he wins 60% of the time. Jong has a 28.57% win rate in his last 7 matches. Both players tend to play in 2 sets outside of Grand Slams (McCabe 70%, Jong 71.43%). No information on injuries.
Our James McCabe vs Alexander Maarten Jong predictions
Victory for James McCabe
James McCabe is the favorite with odds of 1.34 and has a 60% win rate when favored. Alexander Maarten Jong has an overall win rate of only 28.57% and has never won as a favorite. McCabe is well positioned to win this match.
1.36
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 sets in the match
Outside of Grand Slams, McCabe finishes 70% of his matches in 2 sets and Jong 71.43%. Furthermore, when McCabe is favored, he finishes 80% of his matches in 2 sets. The probability of a 2-set match is therefore high, corresponding to under 2.5 sets.
1.55
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games in the match
Given the high probability of a 2-set match (under 2.5 sets), the total number of games should be limited. A typical 2-set match often ends in under 22.5 games, especially if both players are effective on serve. However, the margin is small, hence medium confidence.
1.95
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on James McCabe vs Alexander Maarten Jong
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
James McCabe vs Alexander Maarten Jong Statistics
Win
Win | Lose | 4 6 | 2 5 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 66% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 16% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 75% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 25% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 0% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 25% | 0% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 28% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 0% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 42% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 83% | 50% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 0% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 75% | 0% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 50% | 0% |
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