Rugby

Tennis

Henrique Rocha - Daniel Merida Aguilar: our prediction

07/06/2026•20:40

#21

Henrique Rocha

2:0

7•6

6•3

Finished

#61

Daniel Merida Aguilar

Henrique Rocha vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Preview — Perugia

Match of the Perugia tournament between Henrique Rocha and Daniel Merida Aguilar. Rocha is the favorite (odds at 1.65) and plays on an unspecified surface. Both players have a 60% win rate in their last 10 matches.

Our Henrique Rocha vs Daniel Merida Aguilar predictions

Victory of Henrique Rocha

Henrique Rocha is the favorite with odds of 1.65. He has an 80% win rate when favored in his last 10 matches, compared to 70% for Merida Aguilar. Additionally, Rocha has a 100% win rate in the odds range 1.21-1.5 (4/4), which matches the current odds.

2.36

Confidence

High

Under 22.5 games

Given the high probability of a 2-set match (see previous analysis), the total number of games should be under 22.5. A 2-set match usually ends with fewer than 22.5 games, especially if the sets are close. Both players tend to finish their matches quickly when favored.

1.77

Confidence

Medium

Under 2.5 sets

Outside of Grand Slam tournaments, Rocha finishes 70% of his matches in 2 sets when favored (7/10). Merida Aguilar finishes 50% of his matches in 2 sets when favored (5/10). Since this is not a Grand Slam, the probability of a 2-set match is high.

1.56

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Henrique Rocha vs Daniel Merida Aguilar

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Henrique Rocha vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Henrique Rocha	Daniel Merida Aguilar
Win \| Lose	6 4	6 4
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	33%	100%
% of match in 4 sets or more	66%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	33%	100%
% of match in 4 sets or more	66%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	80%	80%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	66%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	60%	80%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	40%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	33%	37%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	28%	50%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	70%	70%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	66%	62%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	57%	100%