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Alex Bolt - Keegan Smith: our prediction

10/06/2026

#80

Alex Bolt

15:30

Today

#179

Keegan Smith

Alex Bolt vs Keegan Smith Preview — Ilkley

Match of the Ilkley tournament between Alex Bolt and Keegan Smith. Bolt is favorite with odds of 1.39, but Smith has a good recent record (70% wins). The match is played on grass.

Our Alex Bolt vs Keegan Smith predictions

Victory of Keegan Smith

Keegan Smith has a 70% win rate in his last 10 matches, compared to 40% for Bolt. Additionally, Smith has won 60% of his matches as favorite, while Bolt has lost 60% of his matches as favorite. The odds of 2.76 for Smith are attractive.

3.37

Confidence

High

Over 2.5 sets in the match

Both players have 40% of their matches in 3 sets outside Grand Slams. Bolt tends to lose sets as favorite (50% of his matches), and Smith is able to win sets as underdog (60%). A 3-set match is likely.

2.46

Confidence

Medium

Over 22.5 games in the match

Both players tend to play close matches. Bolt has 40% of his matches in 3 sets outside Grand Slams, and Smith also 40%. With the underdog capable of taking a set, the match could exceed 22.5 games.

1.73

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Alex Bolt vs Keegan Smith

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Alex Bolt vs Keegan Smith Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Alex Bolt	Keegan Smith
Win \| Lose	4 6	7 3
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	70%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	30%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	50%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	50%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	71%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	28%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	70%	60%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	66%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	66%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	57%	50%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	30%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	33%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	33%	50%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	80%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	50%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	100%