Rugby

Tennis

Martin Damm - Alex de Minaur: our prediction

10/06/2026•15:50

#33

Martin Damm

0:2

6•7

5•7

Finished

Alex de Minaur

Martin Damm vs Alex de Minaur Preview — Libema Open

Libema Open match between Martin Damm and Alex de Minaur. De Minaur is the heavy favorite with odds of 1.24, while Damm is the underdog at 3.97. De Minaur is higher ranked and more experienced on grass.

Our Martin Damm vs Alex de Minaur predictions

Victory for Alex de Minaur

Alex de Minaur is the logical favorite with odds of 1.24. He is higher ranked and more effective on grass. Damm has a 60% win rate in his last 10 matches, but as an underdog against a top 10 player, his chances are low. De Minaur has a 100% win rate as a favorite with odds between 1.0 and 1.2.

1.23

Confidence

Very high (80 %)

Under 22.5 games in the match

With a high probability of a 2-set match (see previous analysis), the total number of games should be under 22.5. A tight 2-set match (7-6, 6-4) gives about 23 games, but De Minaur should dominate, making a drier score (6-3, 6-2) likely, around 17 games.

1.85

Confidence

High (65 %)

Under 2.5 sets in the match

In non-Grand Slam matches, Damm finishes 90% of his matches in 2 sets, and De Minaur 50%. As a favorite, De Minaur has 50% of his matches in 2 sets. The probability of a 2-set match is high, especially with De Minaur's expected dominance.

1.43

Confidence

High (65 %)

Market signals on Martin Damm vs Alex de Minaur

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Martin Damm vs Alex de Minaur Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Martin Damm	Alex de Minaur
Win \| Lose	6 4	5 5
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	50%	60%
% of match in 4 sets or more	10%	40%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	100%	60%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	40%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	50%	50%
% of match in 4 sets or more	50%	50%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	70%	40%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	33%	0%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	50%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	50%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	42%	33%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	100%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	50%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	42%	66%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	100%