Borussia Dortmund - Hamburger SV: our prediction
21/03/2026•18:30
Borussia Dortmund
3:2
(0:2)
Finished
Hamburger SV
-
1
-
X
-
2
Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV Preview — Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund, the bookmakers' favorite with odds at 1.38, hosts Hamburger SV at the Signal Iduna Park. Dortmund shows solid form with 6 wins in their last 10 matches, while Hamburg, struggling away from home, has won only 1 of their last 10 away matches. Recent statistics suggest a match with goals.
Our Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV predictions
Over 1.5 goals in the match
The statistics from the last 10 matches are very clear: Borussia Dortmund has seen over 1.5 goals in 100% of its matches (10/10). Hamburger SV also has a high rate of 70% (7/10). Dortmund's attack, with scorers like Guirassy (5 goals in 10 matches) and Beier (3 goals), is performing. Hamburg, with Vieira (4 goals) and Königsdörffer (2 goals), can also score. The trend towards high-scoring matches is strong, supported by the fact that both teams score (BTS) in 60% of each team's matches. No information on major offensive absences.
1.18
Confidence
Very high
Borussia Dortmund to score over 0.5 goals
Borussia Dortmund has scored at least one goal in 90% of its last 10 matches (9/10). At home, with an attack led by Guirassy (5 goals) and supported by Beier, Adeyemi, and Brandt, the probability of scoring is very high. Hamburger SV has conceded at least one goal in 70% of its away matches (7/10). Hamburg's defense is not the most solid away from home. No reported major defensive absences for Hamburg should prevent Dortmund from finding the back of the net.
1.08
Confidence
High
Borussia Dortmund to Win
Borussia Dortmund is clearly favored at home. In the last 10 matches, Dortmund has won 6 times (60% success rate), while Hamburger SV has won only 3 times (30%). Dortmund is particularly strong as a favorite, with 6 wins in 6 matches where they were favored. Hamburg, on the other hand, struggles away from home (1 win in 10 matches). No information on major absences was found. Dortmund's defense (3 clean sheets in 10) is more solid than Hamburg's (also 3 clean sheets in 10, but with more goals conceded away).
1.4
Confidence
High
Market signals on Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 6 1 3 | 3 5 2 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 100% | 40% |
Win by being a favorite | 100% | 40% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 25% | 60% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 20% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 20% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 60% 40% | 60% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 20% 80% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Leading at half-time | 60% 40% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 20% | 40% |
2nd half | 60% | 10% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 100% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 70% 30% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 50% 50% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 90% 10% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 80% 20% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Serhou Guirassy | 60% (6/10) | 30% (3/10) | Fabio Vieira |
| Ramy Bensebaini | 33% (2/6) | 29% (2/7) | Luka Vuskovic |
| Maximilian Beier | 20% (2/10) | 29% (2/7) | Robert Glatzel |
| Karim Adeyemi | 33% (2/6) | 14% (1/7) | Jean-Luc Dompe |
| Julian Brandt | 10% (1/10) | 11% (1/9) | Ransford-Yeboah Koenigsdoerffer |
| Nico Schlotterbeck | 10% (1/10) | 14% (1/7) | Fabio Balde |
| Yan Couto | 11% (1/9) | 14% (1/7) | Philip Otele |
| Samuele Inacio | 11% (1/9) | 13% (1/8) | Albert Groenbaek |
| Luca Reggiani | 11% (1/9) | 20% (1/5) | Bakery Jatta |
| Fabio Silva | 10% (1/10) | 13% (1/8) | Albert Sambi Lokonga |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Serhou Guirassy | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽6 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Fabio Vieira |
| Ramy Bensebaini | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽2 | Robert Glatzel |
| Karim Adeyemi | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Luka Vuskovic |
| Maximilian Beier | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Jean-Luc Dompe |
| Luca Reggiani | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Ransford-Yeboah Koenigsdoerffer |
| Fabio Silva | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Fabio Balde |
| Samuele Inacio | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Albert Sambi Lokonga |
| Julian Brandt | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Philip Otele |
| Nico Schlotterbeck | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Albert Groenbaek |
| Yan Couto | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Bakery Jatta |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 80% | 100% |
Over corners 7.5 | 60% | 90% |
Over corners 8.5 | 50% | 90% |
Over corners 9.5 | 40% | 40% |
Over corners 10.5 | 40% | 30% |
Over corners 11.5 | 40% | 30% |
Over corners 12.5 | 30% | 20% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 80% | 60% |
Over corners 3.5 | 70% | 40% |
Over corners 4.5 | 60% | 20% |
Over corners 5.5 | 40% | 20% |
Over corners 6.5 | 40% | 10% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 90% | 90% |
1.5 | 50% | 70% |
2.5 | 30% | 40% |
3.5 | 20% | 20% |
4.5 | 0% | 10% |
5.5 | 0% | 10% |
Lineups
Borussia Dortmund
3-5-2CoachNiko Kovac
Starting XI
Substitutes
Hamburger SV
3-4-3CoachMerlin Polzin
Starting XI
Substitutes
Ranking by bet
| # | Team | Success | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  | Bayern Munich | 82%(28/34) |
| 2 | | Borussia Dortmund | 65%(22/34) |
| 3 |  | RB Leipzig | 59%(20/34) |
| 4 |  | Bayer Leverkusen | 53%(18/34) |
| 5 |  | VfB Stuttgart | 53%(18/34) |
| 6 |  | Hoffenheim | 53%(18/34) |
| 7 |  | Freiburg | 38%(13/34) |
| 8 |  | Augsburg | 35%(12/34) |
| 9 |  | Eintracht Frankfurt | 32%(11/34) |
| 10 |  | Union Berlin | 29%(10/34) |
| 11 |  | Mainz 05 | 29%(10/34) |
| 12 | | Hamburger SV | 26%(9/34) |
| 13 |  | Borussia Moenchengladbach | 26%(9/34) |
| 14 |  | Werder Bremen | 24%(8/34) |
| 15 |  | Wolfsburg | 21%(7/34) |
| 16 |  | FC Koeln | 21%(7/34) |
| 17 |  | FC Heidenheim | 18%(6/34) |
| 18 |  | St. Pauli | 18%(6/34) |
Guide complet des paris sportifs - Bundesliga
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