St. Pauli - Freiburg: our prediction
22/03/2026•17:30
St. Pauli
1:2
(1:0)
Finished
Freiburg
-
1
-
X
-
2
St. Pauli vs Freiburg Preview — Bundesliga
St. Pauli hosts Freiburg in a tight Bundesliga match. St. Pauli is slightly favored by bookmakers (odds 2.70) despite recent mixed form (3 wins, 3 draws, 4 losses in the last 10). Freiburg, away from home, has a slightly more negative record (3W, 2D, 5L) over the same period. Statistics suggest a potentially balanced match with a moderate number of goals.
Our St. Pauli vs Freiburg predictions
St. Pauli scores under 1.5 goals
The data is very clear: in the last 10 matches, St. Pauli scored under 1.5 goals in 8 instances (80%). They never scored over 1.5 goals per match in this period. Their attack, with scorers like Sinani (2 goals/10 matches), is not explosive. Even at home and favored, their recent history does not show an ability to score abundantly. Against Freiburg's defense, it is very likely they score at most 1 goal.
1.25
Confidence
Very high
Under 2.5 goals in the match
Analysis of the last 10 matches shows a defensive trend for both teams. St. Pauli had under 2.5 goals in 5/10 matches (50%), and Freiburg in 6/10 (60%). 'Both Teams to Score' statistics are low (St. Pauli 40%, Freiburg 30%). Clean sheets are rare (St. Pauli 30%, Freiburg 20%), but attacks are not prolific either (St. Pauli never scored over 1.5 goals/team, Freiburg 30%). The match could be tight and tactical.
1.57
Confidence
High
Draw
The odds reflect a very balanced match (St. Pauli Win 2.70, Draw 3.05, Freiburg Win 2.75). The history of the last 10 matches shows St. Pauli drew 3 times (30%) and Freiburg 2 times (20%). Neither team clearly dominates the other in terms of form. With unprolific attacks (see Under 2.5 analysis) and a potentially high stake, a draw scenario is plausible. The lack of information on major injuries reinforces the idea of a tight match where the teams could cancel each other out.
3
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on St. Pauli vs Freiburg
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
St. Pauli vs Freiburg Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 3 3 4 | 3 2 5 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 100% | 67% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 50% | 40% |
Win by being a favorite | 50% | 50% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 50% | 25% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 25% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 25% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 40% 60% | 30% 40% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 50% 50% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 60% 40% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 100% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
Leading at half-time | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 20% | 30% |
2nd half | 40% | 50% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 70% 30% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 50% 50% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 100% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 100% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Abdoulie Ceesay | 30% (3/10) | 30% (3/10) | Igor Matanovic |
| Karol Mets | 17% (1/6) | 20% (2/10) | Maximilian Eggestein |
| Mathias Pereira Lage | 17% (1/6) | 22% (2/9) | Johan Manzambi |
| Danel Sinani | 10% (1/10) | 20% (1/5) | Yuito Suzuki |
10% (1/10) | Vincenzo Grifo | ||
11% (1/9) | Matthias Ginter | ||
10% (1/10) | Derry Scherhant | ||
10% (1/10) | Lukas Kuebler | ||
10% (1/10) | Philipp Lienhart | ||
10% (1/10) | Jan-Niklas Beste |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Abdoulie Ceesay | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Igor Matanovic |
| Karol Mets | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Lukas Kuebler |
| Danel Sinani | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Yuito Suzuki |
| Mathias Pereira Lage | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Maximilian Eggestein |
⚽⚽2 | Johan Manzambi | ||
⚽1 | Vincenzo Grifo | ||
⚽1 | Philipp Lienhart | ||
⚽1 | Derry Scherhant | ||
⚽1 | Jan-Niklas Beste | ||
⚽1 | Matthias Ginter |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 80% | 90% |
Over corners 7.5 | 70% | 80% |
Over corners 8.5 | 70% | 50% |
Over corners 9.5 | 50% | 50% |
Over corners 10.5 | 30% | 50% |
Over corners 11.5 | 10% | 30% |
Over corners 12.5 | 10% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 80% | 90% |
Over corners 3.5 | 60% | 70% |
Over corners 4.5 | 50% | 60% |
Over corners 5.5 | 10% | 40% |
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 10% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 80% | 90% |
1.5 | 50% | 40% |
2.5 | 10% | 20% |
3.5 | 0% | 10% |
4.5 | 0% | 10% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Lineups
St. Pauli
3-4-2-1CoachAlexander Blessin
Starting XI
Substitutes
Freiburg
4-2-3-1CoachJulian Schuster
Starting XI
Substitutes
Ranking by bet
| # | Team | Success | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  | Bayern Munich | 82%(28/34) |
| 2 |  | Borussia Dortmund | 65%(22/34) |
| 3 |  | RB Leipzig | 59%(20/34) |
| 4 |  | Bayer Leverkusen | 53%(18/34) |
| 5 |  | VfB Stuttgart | 53%(18/34) |
| 6 |  | Hoffenheim | 53%(18/34) |
| 7 | | Freiburg | 38%(13/34) |
| 8 |  | Augsburg | 35%(12/34) |
| 9 |  | Eintracht Frankfurt | 32%(11/34) |
| 10 |  | Union Berlin | 29%(10/34) |
| 11 |  | Mainz 05 | 29%(10/34) |
| 12 |  | Hamburger SV | 26%(9/34) |
| 13 |  | Borussia Moenchengladbach | 26%(9/34) |
| 14 |  | Werder Bremen | 24%(8/34) |
| 15 |  | Wolfsburg | 21%(7/34) |
| 16 |  | FC Koeln | 21%(7/34) |
| 17 |  | FC Heidenheim | 18%(6/34) |
| 18 | | St. Pauli | 18%(6/34) |
Guide complet des paris sportifs - Bundesliga
Bienvenue dans notre guide complet des paris sportifs pour Bundesliga. Que vous soyez un parieur débutant ou expérimenté, nous vous proposons une analyse approfondie et des conseils experts pour optimiser vos paris sur cette compétition.
Présentation de la compétition
Bundesliga est l'une des compétitions majeures de Germany. Avec son histoire riche et son niveau de jeu élevé, elle offre de nombreuses opportunités pour les parieurs avertis.
Types de paris populaires
Les paris les plus populaires dans cette compétition incluent :
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- Paris sur les buteurs
Facteurs clés à considérer
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- Blessures et suspensions
- Conditions météorologiques
- Enjeux du match
Stratégies de paris recommandées
Nos experts recommandent les stratégies suivantes pour cette compétition :
- Analyse approfondie des statistiques
- Suivi des tendances de marché
- Gestion rigoureuse de bankroll
- Diversification des types de paris
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