Mainz 05 - Freiburg: our prediction
12/04/2026•19:30
Mainz 05
0:1
(0:0)
Finished
Freiburg
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1
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X
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2
Mainz 05 vs Freiburg Preview — Bundesliga
Mainz 05 hosts Freiburg in a Bundesliga match. Bookmakers give a slight advantage to Mainz (odds 2.25). In the last 10 matches, Mainz has won 5 and drawn 3, while Freiburg has recorded 4 wins and 5 defeats. Recent statistics suggest a potentially tight match with a moderate goal trend.
Our Mainz 05 vs Freiburg predictions
Under 2.5 Goals
Statistics from the last 10 matches show a strong trend towards low scores. For Mainz 05, 6 of their last 10 matches saw under 2.5 goals (60%). For Freiburg, it's 3 out of 10 (30%). Overall, matches involving these teams have often been tight. Mainz scored over 1.5 goals per team in only 6 of their last 10 matches and never over 2.5. Freiburg managed to score over 2.5 goals per team in only 3 of their last 10 matches. The defenses are relatively solid, with Mainz keeping 4 clean sheets and Freiburg 1 over the period.
1.88
Confidence
High
Mainz 05 Win
Mainz 05 is slightly favored at home (odds 2.25). In the last 10 matches, they have decent form with 5 wins, 3 draws, and only 2 defeats. At home, they have won 50% of their matches as favorites. Freiburg, away from home, has lost 5 of their last 10 matches and managed only a single draw in that period. Mainz's defense kept a clean sheet in 40% of their recent matches, while Freiburg managed only one. No information on major absences was found in the provided data.
2.27
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Mainz 05 vs Freiburg
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Mainz 05 vs Freiburg Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 5 3 2 | 4 1 5 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 100% | 60% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 75% | 50% |
Win by being a favorite | 67% | 60% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 50% | 40% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 25% | 20% |
Win by being an outsider | 25% | 20% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 40% 60% | 10% 90% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 40% 60% | 50% 40% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 40% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 70% 30% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 40% 60% | 30% 70% |
Leading at half-time | 40% 60% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 40% | 30% |
2nd half | 30% | 60% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 80% 20% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 40% 60% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 100% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 60% 40% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 100% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Phillip Tietz | 30% (3/10) | 30% (3/10) | Igor Matanovic |
| Paul Nebel | 20% (2/10) | 22% (2/9) | Johan Manzambi |
| Sheraldo Becker | 25% (2/8) | 20% (2/10) | Maximilian Eggestein |
| Nadiem Amiri | 25% (2/8) | 10% (1/10) | Jan-Niklas Beste |
| Phillipp Mwene | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Lukas Kuebler |
| Kaishu Sano | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Philipp Lienhart |
| Dominik Kohr | 10% (1/10) | 11% (1/9) | Matthias Ginter |
| Stefan Posch | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Vincenzo Grifo |
20% (1/5) | Yuito Suzuki | ||
10% (1/10) | Derry Scherhant |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Phillip Tietz | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Igor Matanovic |
| Paul Nebel | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽2 | Lukas Kuebler |
| Nadiem Amiri | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Yuito Suzuki |
| Sheraldo Becker | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Maximilian Eggestein |
| Stefan Posch | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Johan Manzambi |
| Dominik Kohr | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Vincenzo Grifo |
| Kaishu Sano | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Philipp Lienhart |
| Phillipp Mwene | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Derry Scherhant |
⚽1 | Jan-Niklas Beste | ||
⚽1 | Matthias Ginter |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 80% | 70% |
Over corners 7.5 | 80% | 60% |
Over corners 8.5 | 60% | 40% |
Over corners 9.5 | 40% | 40% |
Over corners 10.5 | 30% | 40% |
Over corners 11.5 | 20% | 30% |
Over corners 12.5 | 10% | 10% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 70% | 90% |
Over corners 3.5 | 60% | 60% |
Over corners 4.5 | 50% | 60% |
Over corners 5.5 | 20% | 40% |
Over corners 6.5 | 20% | 10% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 90% | 90% |
1.5 | 50% | 40% |
2.5 | 20% | 30% |
3.5 | 0% | 20% |
4.5 | 0% | 10% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Lineups
Mainz 05
3-1-4-2CoachUrs Fischer
Starting XI
Substitutes
Freiburg
4-2-3-1CoachJulian Schuster
Starting XI
Substitutes
Ranking by bet
| # | Team | Success | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  | Bayern Munich | 82%(28/34) |
| 2 |  | Borussia Dortmund | 65%(22/34) |
| 3 |  | RB Leipzig | 59%(20/34) |
| 4 |  | Bayer Leverkusen | 53%(18/34) |
| 5 |  | VfB Stuttgart | 53%(18/34) |
| 6 |  | Hoffenheim | 53%(18/34) |
| 7 | | Freiburg | 38%(13/34) |
| 8 |  | Augsburg | 35%(12/34) |
| 9 |  | Eintracht Frankfurt | 32%(11/34) |
| 10 |  | Union Berlin | 29%(10/34) |
| 11 | | Mainz 05 | 29%(10/34) |
| 12 |  | Hamburger SV | 26%(9/34) |
| 13 |  | Borussia Moenchengladbach | 26%(9/34) |
| 14 |  | Werder Bremen | 24%(8/34) |
| 15 |  | Wolfsburg | 21%(7/34) |
| 16 |  | FC Koeln | 21%(7/34) |
| 17 |  | FC Heidenheim | 18%(6/34) |
| 18 |  | St. Pauli | 18%(6/34) |
Guide complet des paris sportifs - Bundesliga
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Présentation de la compétition
Bundesliga est l'une des compétitions majeures de Germany. Avec son histoire riche et son niveau de jeu élevé, elle offre de nombreuses opportunités pour les parieurs avertis.
Types de paris populaires
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Stratégies de paris recommandées
Nos experts recommandent les stratégies suivantes pour cette compétition :
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- Diversification des types de paris
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