Metz vs Nantes — Prediction
05/04/2026•17:15
Metz
0:0
(0:0)
Finished
Nantes
-
1
-
X
-
2
Match Preview
Metz hosts Nantes in a Ligue 1 match. Nantes is slightly favored by the bookmakers, but both teams are struggling with very poor recent form. Metz has not won any of its last 10 matches, while Nantes has won only one. Metz's defense is particularly vulnerable.
Our predictions
Under 2.5 goals in the match
Statistics from the last 10 matches show a trend towards low-scoring games. Metz had under 2.5 goals in 4/10 matches, Nantes in 5/10. Both teams have unproductive attacks (Metz: 0 wins, Nantes: 1 win in 10) and defenses that often concede. The probability of a tight and tactical match is high.
1.66
Confidence
High
Both teams to score
Metz has scored in 8 of its last 10 matches (Over 0.5 goals per team) and Nantes in 7/10. However, defenses are weak: Metz kept a clean sheet only 2 times, Nantes only 1 time in 10. The probability of each team finding the net at least once is significant, despite the overall poor form.
1.86
Confidence
Medium
Draw
Neither team is in confidence. Metz had 2 draws in 10, Nantes 1 in 10. Although the number of draws is historically low, the current context (two teams in crisis, fear of losing) could favor a shared result. The odds are attractive but the bet remains risky given the low frequency of draws for both.
3.25
Confidence
Low
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 2 8 | 1 1 8 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 0% | 33% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 0% | 33% |
Win by being a favorite | 0% | 33% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 20% | 14% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 40% 60% | 60% 40% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 70% 30% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 40% 60% | 40% 60% |
Leading at half-time | 100% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 50% | 40% |
2nd half | 30% | 50% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 60% 40% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 60% 40% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 40% 60% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Mbala | 22% (2/9) | 33% (3/9) | Matthis Abline |
| Koffi Kouao | 20% (2/10) | 13% (1/8) | Ignatius Ganago |
| Giorgi Abuashvili | 10% (1/10) | 11% (1/9) | Mostafa Mohamed |
| Habibou Mouhamadou Diallo | 10% (1/10) | 14% (1/7) | Dehmaine Tabibou |
13% (1/8) | Fabien Centonze |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Mbala | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Matthis Abline |
| Koffi Kouao | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Fabien Centonze |
| Habibou Mouhamadou Diallo | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Dehmaine Tabibou |
| Giorgi Abuashvili | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Ignatius Ganago |
⚽1 | Mostafa Mohamed |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 80% | 60% |
Over corners 7.5 | 50% | 50% |
Over corners 8.5 | 40% | 50% |
Over corners 9.5 | 40% | 20% |
Over corners 10.5 | 10% | 20% |
Over corners 11.5 | 10% | 10% |
Over corners 12.5 | 10% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 60% | 70% |
Over corners 3.5 | 50% | 40% |
Over corners 4.5 | 20% | 20% |
Over corners 5.5 | 20% | 0% |
Over corners 6.5 | 10% | 0% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 90% | 90% |
1.5 | 70% | 60% |
2.5 | 30% | 40% |
3.5 | 0% | 30% |
4.5 | 0% | 10% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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