Barcelona - Real Madrid: our prediction
10/05/2026•21:00
Barcelona
2:0
(2:0)
Finished
Real Madrid
-
1
-
X
-
2
Barcelona vs Real Madrid Preview — LaLiga
Barcelona hosts Real Madrid in a top-of-the-table LaLiga clash. Barcelona is the favorite with odds of 1.62, buoyed by 9 wins in their last 10 matches. Real Madrid, playing away, has shown more inconsistent form with 5 wins in 10. Statistics suggest a match with goals, as both teams have a strong tendency to score.
Our Barcelona vs Real Madrid predictions
Over 2.5 goals
Both teams have a strong propensity to be involved in matches with over 2.5 goals. Barcelona has 60% of its matches with over 2.5 (6/10), and Real Madrid 70% (7/10). Combined with the tendency of both teams to score (BTS), the total number of goals should exceed 2.5. The attacks are in form, with key scorers like Lewandowski and Vinicius Jr. contributing regularly.
1.33
Confidence
High (65%)
Barcelona to win
Barcelona is the favorite and has won 9 of its last 10 matches, including 9 as the favorite. Playing at home, Barcelona has a clear advantage. Real Madrid has lost 3 of its last 10 matches and has only 5 wins. Barcelona's statistics as a favorite (90% win rate) are very solid. The odds of 1.62 reflect this expected dominance.
1.65
Confidence
High (65%)
Both teams to score
Barcelona has seen both teams score in 60% of its matches (6/10), while Real Madrid has an even stronger tendency with 90% (9/10). Both teams have prolific attacks, with players like Lewandowski and Vinicius Jr. in form. Barcelona's defense has kept a clean sheet only 3 times in 10 matches, and Real Madrid's only once. The scenario of a match where both teams score is therefore very likely.
1.37
Confidence
High (65%)
Market signals on Barcelona vs Real Madrid
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Barcelona vs Real Madrid Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 9 1 | 5 2 3 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 90% | 86% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 75% | 50% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 100% | 50% |
Win by being a favorite | 90% | 57% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 0% | 33% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 33% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 33% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 60% 40% | 90% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 80% 20% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 40% 60% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 50% 50% | 30% 70% |
Leading at half-time | 70% 30% | 40% 60% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 60% | 20% |
2nd half | 20% | 70% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 80% 20% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 60% 40% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 90% 10% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 70% 30% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 20% 80% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Ferran Torres | 44% (4/9) | 50% (4/8) | Kylian Mbappe |
| Marcus Rashford | 30% (3/10) | 44% (4/9) | Vinicius Junior |
| Lamine Yamal | 75% (3/4) | 20% (2/10) | Jude Bellingham |
| Robert Lewandowski | 20% (2/10) | 20% (2/10) | Gonzalo Garcia |
| Raphinha | 33% (1/3) | 20% (1/5) | Arda Guler |
| Joao Cancelo | 10% (1/10) | 14% (1/7) | Federico Valverde |
| Fermin Lopez | 13% (1/8) | 10% (1/10) | Brahim Diaz |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Ferran Torres | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | Vinicius Junior |
| Lamine Yamal | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Kylian Mbappe |
| Marcus Rashford | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽2 | Gonzalo Garcia |
| Robert Lewandowski | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Arda Guler |
| Raphinha | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Jude Bellingham |
| Fermin Lopez | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Federico Valverde |
| Joao Cancelo | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Brahim Diaz |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 90% | 90% |
Over corners 7.5 | 80% | 90% |
Over corners 8.5 | 50% | 90% |
Over corners 9.5 | 40% | 80% |
Over corners 10.5 | 20% | 70% |
Over corners 11.5 | 20% | 40% |
Over corners 12.5 | 10% | 40% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 100% | 90% |
Over corners 3.5 | 80% | 90% |
Over corners 4.5 | 70% | 70% |
Over corners 5.5 | 60% | 60% |
Over corners 6.5 | 40% | 30% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 90% | 100% |
1.5 | 60% | 60% |
2.5 | 40% | 20% |
3.5 | 0% | 20% |
4.5 | 0% | 10% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Lineups
Barcelona
4-2-3-1CoachHans-Dieter Flick
Starting XI
Substitutes
Real Madrid
4-4-2CoachAlvaro Arbeloa
Starting XI
Substitutes
Ranking by bet
| # | Team | Success | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | | Barcelona | 82%(31/38) |
| 2 | | Real Madrid | 71%(27/38) |
| 3 |  | Villarreal | 58%(22/38) |
| 4 |  | Atletico Madrid | 55%(21/38) |
| 5 |  | Real Betis | 39%(15/38) |
| 6 |  | Getafe | 39%(15/38) |
| 7 |  | Celta Vigo | 37%(14/38) |
| 8 |  | Valencia | 34%(13/38) |
| 9 |  | Athletic Bilbao | 34%(13/38) |
| 10 |  | Sevilla | 32%(12/38) |
| 11 |  | Espanyol | 32%(12/38) |
| 12 |  | Rayo Vallecano | 32%(12/38) |
| 13 |  | Deportivo Alaves | 29%(11/38) |
| 14 |  | Real Sociedad | 29%(11/38) |
| 15 |  | Levante | 29%(11/38) |
| 16 |  | Osasuna | 29%(11/38) |
| 17 |  | Mallorca | 29%(11/38) |
| 18 |  | Elche | 26%(10/38) |
| 19 |  | Girona | 24%(9/38) |
| 20 |  | Real Oviedo | 16%(6/38) |
Guide complet des paris sportifs - LaLiga
Bienvenue dans notre guide complet des paris sportifs pour LaLiga. Que vous soyez un parieur débutant ou expérimenté, nous vous proposons une analyse approfondie et des conseils experts pour optimiser vos paris sur cette compétition.
Présentation de la compétition
LaLiga est l'une des compétitions majeures de Spain. Avec son histoire riche et son niveau de jeu élevé, elle offre de nombreuses opportunités pour les parieurs avertis.
Types de paris populaires
Les paris les plus populaires dans cette compétition incluent :
- Paris sur le résultat final (1X2)
- Paris sur le nombre de buts
- Paris combinés
- Paris en direct
- Paris sur les buteurs
Facteurs clés à considérer
Pour réussir vos paris sur LaLiga, prenez en compte ces éléments essentiels :
- Forme actuelle des équipes
- Historique des confrontations directes
- Blessures et suspensions
- Conditions météorologiques
- Enjeux du match
Stratégies de paris recommandées
Nos experts recommandent les stratégies suivantes pour cette compétition :
- Analyse approfondie des statistiques
- Suivi des tendances de marché
- Gestion rigoureuse de bankroll
- Diversification des types de paris
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