Chelsea Fc Women vs Aston Villa Women Prediction - Odds, Tips & Analysis

29/03/2026•13:00

Chelsea FC Women

4:3

(3:3)

Finished

Aston Villa Women

Match Preview

Chelsea, the home favorite, faces Aston Villa. Statistics show a clear superiority for Chelsea, with a high probability of victory and a low expected number of goals.

Our predictions

Chelsea Win

Chelsea is the clear favorite (odds 1.19). In the last 10 matches, Chelsea has won 5 times, compared to only 3 for Aston Villa. Chelsea is unbeaten as a favorite in its last 8 matches in that role (5W, 2D, 1L). At home, Chelsea has won 50% of its last 10 matches. Aston Villa, on the other hand, has lost 6 of its last 10 matches and has not won any matches as an outsider (0/5). Chelsea's technical superiority and home consistency should translate into a victory.

1.19

Confidence

Very high

Under 2.5 goals

Statistics from the last 10 matches strongly favor a match with fewer than 3 goals. For Chelsea, 7 of its last 10 matches had under 2.5 goals (70%). For Aston Villa, it's 8 out of 10 (80%). Chelsea scores regularly (9/10 matches with Over 1.5 total goals) but often keeps a clean sheet (4 clean sheets in 10). Aston Villa struggles to score away (only 1 win in 10 away matches). The probability of a tight, Chelsea-controlled match with few goals is high.

2.69

Confidence

High

Market Signals

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Success Rate per bet

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Chelsea FC Women	Aston Villa Women
Win	5 2 3	3 1 6
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	88%	75%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	100%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	50%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	50%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	50%	67%
Win by being a favorite	63%	75%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	0%	20%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	0%	0%
Win by being an outsider	0%	0%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	40% 60%	20% 80%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	50% 50%	70% 50%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	20% 80%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	60% 40%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	80% 20%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	10% 90%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	30% 70%	60% 40%
Leading at half-time	60% 40%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	20%	30%
2nd half	30%	60%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	90% 10%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	30% 70%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	20% 80%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	10% 90%	40% 60%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	90% 10%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	40% 60%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	100%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Lauren James	50% (4/8)	56% (5/9)	Kirsty Hanson
Alyssa Thompson	38% (3/8)	14% (1/7)	Oriane Jean-Francois
Samantha Kerr	40% (2/5)	13% (1/8)	Lucy Parker
Sjoeke Nuesken	25% (2/8)	11% (1/9)	Miriael Taylor
Agnes Beever-Jones	20% (1/5)	14% (1/7)	Chasity Grant
Johanna Rytting Kaneryd	17% (1/6)	11% (1/9)	Ebony Salmon
Naomi Girma	14% (1/7)	11% (1/9)	Anna Patten
Keira Walsh	13% (1/8)	50% (1/2)	Rachel Daly
Alexia Potter	13% (1/8)

Total goals per player

	1	2
Lauren James	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽7	Kirsty Hanson
Alyssa Thompson	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽1	Rachel Daly
Sjoeke Nuesken	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Oriane Jean-Francois
Samantha Kerr	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Chasity Grant
Naomi Girma	⚽1	⚽1	Ebony Salmon
Alexia Potter	⚽1	⚽1	Anna Patten
Keira Walsh	⚽1	⚽1	Lucy Parker
Agnes Beever-Jones	⚽1	⚽1	Miriael Taylor
Johanna Rytting Kaneryd	⚽1

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	80%	70%
Over corners 7.5	70%	70%
Over corners 8.5	70%	50%
Over corners 9.5	70%	50%
Over corners 10.5	70%	50%
Over corners 11.5	70%	50%
Over corners 12.5	50%	50%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	70%	60%
Over corners 3.5	60%	40%
Over corners 4.5	40%	20%
Over corners 5.5	40%	20%
Over corners 6.5	30%	20%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	40%	70%
1.5	20%	30%
2.5	10%	0%
3.5	0%	0%
4.5	0%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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