Rugby

Tennis

Daniil Medvedev - Stan Wawrinka: our prediction

25/02/2026•11:05

Daniil Medvedev

2:0

6•2

6•3

Finished

Stan Wawrinka

Daniil Medvedev vs Stan Wawrinka Preview — Dubai Tennis Championships

Daniil Medvedev, the clear favorite (odds 1.14), faces Stan Wawrinka (odds 5.52) at the Dubai Tennis Championships. Medvedev shows solid form (80% win rate in last 10 matches) and an excellent winning statistic as a favorite. Wawrinka, experienced but less consistent, can he create an upset? The match is played in a best-of-2-sets format.

Our Daniil Medvedev vs Stan Wawrinka predictions

Victory for Daniil Medvedev

Medvedev is the undisputed favorite (odds 1.14). His statistics are superior: 80% win rate in last 10 matches vs 40% for Wawrinka. As a favorite, he wins 80% of the time. His recent form and seeded status put him in a strong position. No known injury alerts.

1.14

Confidence

Very high

Under 2.5 sets in the match

The match is not a Grand Slam (Best of 3 format). Medvedev, as a favorite, wins 70% of his matches in 2 sets ('en2set'). Wawrinka, as an outsider, loses 40% of his matches in 2 sets ('en2setoutsider'). The probability of a match in 2 sets (victory 2-0 or 0-2) is high. This bet is consistent with a Medvedev victory.

1.34

Confidence

High

Under 22.5 games in the match

This bet is linked to the prediction of a match in 2 sets. If Medvedev wins 2-0, close scores (e.g., 6-4, 6-4) total 20 games. Wawrinka has an 80% statistic for winning at least one set as an outsider ('win1set_asoutsider_g'), which could lengthen the match. However, Medvedev's strong tendency to finish in 2 sets and his very low odds suggest a short match is likely. Medium confidence due to Wawrinka's offensive power.

1.6

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Daniil Medvedev vs Stan Wawrinka

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Daniil Medvedev vs Stan Wawrinka Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Daniil Medvedev	Stan Wawrinka
Win \| Lose	7 3	4 6
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	20%	50%
% of match in 4 sets or more	80%	50%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	30%	30%
% of match in 4 sets or more	70%	70%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	50%	40%
% of match in 4 sets or more	50%	60%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	70%	80%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	100%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	60%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	20%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	40%	42%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	0%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	30%	80%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	33%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	40%	71%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	0%