Rugby

Tennis

Sebastian Ofner - Matteo Martineau: our prediction

27/02/2026•14:35

#43

Sebastian Ofner

2:0

6•4

6•1

Finished

#186

Matteo Martineau

Sebastian Ofner vs Matteo Martineau Preview — St. Brieuc

Sebastian Ofner, the designated favorite, faces Matteo Martineau in an ATP match in St. Brieuc. Recent statistics show Ofner has mixed form (3W/7L in last 10 matches) but is more effective as a favorite in 2-set matches. Martineau, with slightly better form (4W/6L), is solid as an underdog. No injury alerts are reported. The match is expected to be tight, with a high probability of over 2.5 sets.

Our Sebastian Ofner vs Matteo Martineau predictions

Over 2.5 sets in the match

Ofner often loses a set as a favorite (70% of cases). Martineau frequently wins a set as an underdog (40-75% depending on odds). Historical statistics for both players indicate a strong tendency for 3-set matches, especially outside Grand Slams.

2.24

Confidence

High

Over 22.5 games in the match

With a high probability of 3 sets, the total games should exceed 22.5. 3-set matches typically involve over 24 games, and both players' tendencies to lose/win sets support this scenario. The odds of 1.58 reflect this expectation.

1.68

Confidence

Medium

Sebastian Ofner to win

Ofner is the favorite with odds of 1.58. He has a 50% win rate as a favorite, and his performances in 2-set matches (70%) are solid. Despite his recent mixed form, his favorite status and experience should give him an advantage against Martineau, who has a lower win rate (30%) as an underdog.

1.53

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Sebastian Ofner vs Matteo Martineau

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Sebastian Ofner vs Matteo Martineau Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Sebastian Ofner	Matteo Martineau
Win \| Lose	3 7	4 6
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	20%	50%
% of match in 4 sets or more	70%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	20%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	80%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	30%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	60%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	40%	60%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	25%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	40%	83%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	10%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	33%	75%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	25%	50%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	60%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	75%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	75%	50%