Rugby

Tennis

Aryna Sabalenka - Qinwen Zheng: our prediction

23/03/2026•22:15

Aryna Sabalenka

2:0

6•3

6•4

Finished

Qinwen Zheng

Aryna Sabalenka vs Qinwen Zheng Preview — Miami Open

Aryna Sabalenka, the seeded player and heavy favorite, faces Qinwen Zheng at the Miami Open. Sabalenka displays solid form and dominant statistics, including a 90% win rate in her last 10 matches. Zheng, although performing well, seems at a disadvantage on this type of fast surface. Sabalenka's very low odds (1.14) reflect her undisputed favorite status.

Our Aryna Sabalenka vs Qinwen Zheng predictions

Victory for Aryna Sabalenka

Sabalenka is the undisputed favorite (odds 1.14). Her statistics are overwhelming: 90% wins in the last 10 matches, and 90% wins in 2 sets when favored outside Grand Slams. Her power and experience on hard court should make the difference against Zheng, who has a 50% win rate over the same period.

1.14

Confidence

Very high

Under 2.5 sets in the match

Sabalenka regularly finishes her matches in 2 sets (90% of the time as favorite outside Grand Slams). Zheng, when favored, loses at least one set 70% of the time, but against such a strong opponent and with such low odds (1.14), it is likely that Sabalenka wins in two clear sets. No injury information contradicts this scenario.

1.3

Confidence

High

Market signals on Aryna Sabalenka vs Qinwen Zheng

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Aryna Sabalenka vs Qinwen Zheng Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Aryna Sabalenka	Qinwen Zheng
Win \| Lose	9 1	5 5
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	20%	30%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	20%	40%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	100%	20%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	90%	80%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	83%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	50%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	50%	20%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	25%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	20%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	60%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	100%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	33%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	20%