Ben Shelton - Zhizhen Zhang: our prediction
02/04/2026•01:05

#5

Ben Shelton
2:0
7•6
7•6
Finished

#45

Zhizhen Zhang
-
1
-
X
-
2
Ben Shelton vs Zhizhen Zhang Preview — US Men's Clay Court Championships
Ben Shelton, the clear favorite (odds 1.34), faces Zhizhen Zhang on clay at the US Men's Clay Court Championships. Shelton shows solid form (70% recent win rate) and excellent performance as a favorite (90%). Zhang, less consistent (50% win rate), could offer resistance, but statistics point to a Shelton victory, potentially in three sets.
Our Ben Shelton vs Zhizhen Zhang predictions
Ben Shelton to Win
Shelton is the statistical and odds favorite. He shows a 70% win rate in his last 10 matches and an impressive 90% win rate when favored. Zhang, with a 50% recent win rate and only a 30% win rate as an outsider, seems at a disadvantage. No known injury alert contradicts this dynamic.
1.32
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 sets in the match
Shelton, although favored, loses at least one set in 60% of his matches as a favorite. Zhang, for his part, wins at least one set in 30% of his matches as an outsider. Furthermore, on non-Grand Slam surfaces (like here), Shelton plays 70% of his matches in 3 sets when favored. This suggests a high probability that Zhang will win a set.
2.44
Confidence
High
Over 22.5 games in the match
The prediction of over 2.5 sets makes this bet consistent. A three-set match (6-4, 4-6, 6-4) already totals 30 games. Even a tight two-set match (7-6, 7-5) reaches 25 games. Considering Shelton's profile (often loses a set) and Zhang's ability to be competitive, a high total of games is plausible. Confidence is medium because a quick two-set match by Shelton (e.g., 6-3, 6-3 = 18 games) remains possible.
1.83
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Ben Shelton vs Zhizhen Zhang
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Ben Shelton vs Zhizhen Zhang Statistics
Win
Win | Lose | 7 3 | 5 5 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 70% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 30% | 50% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 70% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 30% | 50% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 60% | 30% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 40% | 70% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 90% | 50% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 80% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 33% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 66% | 20% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 50% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 66% | 20% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 50% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 50% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 60% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 0% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 50% | 66% |
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