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Marin Cilic - Alexander Shevchenko: our prediction

07/04/2026•12:40

Marin Cilic

2:0

6•1

6•3

Finished

#50

Alexander Shevchenko

Marin Cilic vs Alexander Shevchenko Preview — Rolex Monte Carlo Masters

Marin Cilic, a former Grand Slam finalist, faces Alexander Shevchenko, a rising young player, at the Monte Carlo Masters on clay. Cilic is the favorite with odds of 1.68, but Shevchenko has shown solid form recently. Statistics indicate a high probability of a two-set match.

Our Marin Cilic vs Alexander Shevchenko predictions

Marin Cilic to Win

Cilic is the favorite (odds 1.68) with superior experience and an excellent win percentage as favorite (80%). Shevchenko has slightly better recent form, but Cilic has the advantage on clay and in big matches.

1.8

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 Sets

Statistics show Cilic finishes 90% of his matches in 2 sets when favorite (excluding Grand Slams). Shevchenko also has a high two-set match rate (80% as favorite). The probability of a three-set match is low.

1.58

Confidence

High

Under 22.5 Games

With a high probability of a two-set match, the total games should be moderate. Cilic, as the favorite, can impose his game and limit the number of games. However, Shevchenko can be competitive, which might slightly increase the game count.

1.91

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Marin Cilic vs Alexander Shevchenko

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Marin Cilic vs Alexander Shevchenko Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Marin Cilic	Alexander Shevchenko
Win \| Lose	5 5	6 4
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	50%	50%
% of match in 4 sets or more	50%	50%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	60%	20%
% of match in 4 sets or more	40%	80%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	30%	60%
% of match in 4 sets or more	70%	40%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	80%	100%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	100%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	100%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	30%	20%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	33%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	25%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	66%	0%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	50%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	66%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	66%	0%