11/04/2026

#209

Gonzalo Bueno

15:30

Today

#139

Lautaro Midon

Match Preview

Gonzalo Bueno, a slight favorite, faces Lautaro Midon in an ATP match in Campinas. Both players show solid recent form, with a slight edge for Bueno as the favorite. Statistics suggest a tight match, potentially going to three sets.

Our predictions

Gonzalo Bueno to Win

Gonzalo Bueno is designated as the favorite (odds 1.80). Over the last 10 matches, he has a win rate of 60% (compared to 70% for Midon). However, as a favorite, his win rate is 60%, while Midon, as an outsider, wins only 30% of the time. Bueno's odds fall in the 1.51-1.80 range, where he has a 25% win rate as a favorite, but Midon has only a 33.3% win rate as an outsider against opponents in this odds range. The statistical edge and favorite status support Bueno.

1.8

Confidence

High

Over 2.5 Sets

Set statistics strongly support a three-set match. Outside Grand Slams, Gonzalo Bueno plays 40% of his matches in three sets, and Lautaro Midon 60%. Furthermore, when Bueno is the favorite, he loses at least one set 50% of the time. Midon, as an outsider, wins at least one set 50% of the time. These trends, combined with the closeness of the odds, indicate a high probability of the match going to a third set.

2.5

Confidence

High

Market Signals

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Success Rate per bet

History

Surface

Win

	Gonzalo Bueno	Lautaro Midon
Win \| Lose	6 4	7 3
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	60%	90%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	50%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	100%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	25%	75%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	40%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	50%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	25%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	50%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	50%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	50%	100%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	25%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	75%	50%

Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite

	1	2
Global	50%	50%
rated between 1.00 and 1.20	50%	50%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	25%	50%
rated between 1.51 and 1.80	75%	50%

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