Gonzalo Bueno - Lautaro Midon: our prediction
11/04/2026•15:40

#183

Gonzalo Bueno
2:1
5•7
6•3
6•1
Finished

#167

Lautaro Midon
-
1
-
X
-
2
Gonzalo Bueno vs Lautaro Midon Preview — Campinas
Gonzalo Bueno, a slight favorite, faces Lautaro Midon in an ATP match in Campinas. Both players show solid recent form, with a slight edge for Bueno as the favorite. Statistics suggest a tight match, potentially going to three sets.
Our Gonzalo Bueno vs Lautaro Midon predictions
Gonzalo Bueno to Win
Gonzalo Bueno is designated as the favorite (odds 1.80). Over the last 10 matches, he has a win rate of 60% (compared to 70% for Midon). However, as a favorite, his win rate is 60%, while Midon, as an outsider, wins only 30% of the time. Bueno's odds fall in the 1.51-1.80 range, where he has a 25% win rate as a favorite, but Midon has only a 33.3% win rate as an outsider against opponents in this odds range. The statistical edge and favorite status support Bueno.
1.8
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 Sets
Set statistics strongly support a three-set match. Outside Grand Slams, Gonzalo Bueno plays 40% of his matches in three sets, and Lautaro Midon 60%. Furthermore, when Bueno is the favorite, he loses at least one set 50% of the time. Midon, as an outsider, wins at least one set 50% of the time. These trends, combined with the closeness of the odds, indicate a high probability of the match going to a third set.
2.35
Confidence
High
Market signals on Gonzalo Bueno vs Lautaro Midon
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Gonzalo Bueno vs Lautaro Midon Statistics
Win
Win | Lose | 6 4 | 7 3 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 90% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 50% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 25% | 75% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 50% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 25% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 50% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 50% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 25% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 75% | 50% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 50% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 50% | 50% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 25% | 50% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 75% | 50% |
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