Rugby

Tennis

Federico Coria - Gonzalo Bueno: our prediction

16/04/2026•03:20

#63

Federico Coria

0:2

4•6

1•6

Finished

#183

Gonzalo Bueno

Federico Coria vs Gonzalo Bueno Preview — Santa Cruz

Experienced Federico Coria faces young prospect Gonzalo Bueno. Coria is in solid form (5W/5L) and has good experience as a favorite. Bueno, the bookmakers' favorite (odds 1.59), shows a tendency for 3-set matches (60%). No injuries reported. The match could be close.

Our Federico Coria vs Gonzalo Bueno predictions

Gonzalo Bueno to Win

Bueno is the designated favorite (odds 1.59). His recent form is slightly better (6W/4L vs. 5W/5L for Coria). He has a 70% win rate as a favorite. Coria, as an underdog, wins only 20% of the time. The odds logic and form support Bueno.

1.55

Confidence

High

Over 2.5 Sets in the Match

Bueno has a 60% rate of 3-set matches (outside Grand Slams). As a favorite, he loses at least one set 60% of the time. Coria, as an underdog, wins at least one set 50% of the time. Statistics suggest a high probability of a 3-set match.

2.32

Confidence

High

Over 22.5 Games in the Match

With a high probability of a 3-set match, the total games should exceed 22.5. Even a tight 2-set match (e.g., 7-6, 7-5) reaches 25 games. Bueno's tendency for long matches and Coria's resilience support this bet.

2.04

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Federico Coria vs Gonzalo Bueno

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Federico Coria vs Gonzalo Bueno Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Federico Coria	Gonzalo Bueno
Win \| Lose	5 5	6 4
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	50%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	50%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	100%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	50%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	50%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	70%	70%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	50%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	75%	100%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	60%	50%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	20%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	25%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	50%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	50%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	50%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	25%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	75%