Federico Coria vs Gonzalo Bueno — Prediction
16/04/2026•03:20
#63
Federico Coria
0:2
4•6
1•6
Finished
#177
Gonzalo Bueno
-
1
-
X
-
2
Match Preview
Experienced Federico Coria faces young prospect Gonzalo Bueno. Coria is in solid form (5W/5L) and has good experience as a favorite. Bueno, the bookmakers' favorite (odds 1.59), shows a tendency for 3-set matches (60%). No injuries reported. The match could be close.
Our predictions
Gonzalo Bueno to Win
Bueno is the designated favorite (odds 1.59). His recent form is slightly better (6W/4L vs. 5W/5L for Coria). He has a 70% win rate as a favorite. Coria, as an underdog, wins only 20% of the time. The odds logic and form support Bueno.
1.6
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 Sets in the Match
Bueno has a 60% rate of 3-set matches (outside Grand Slams). As a favorite, he loses at least one set 60% of the time. Coria, as an underdog, wins at least one set 50% of the time. Statistics suggest a high probability of a 3-set match.
2.24
Confidence
High
Over 22.5 Games in the Match
With a high probability of a 3-set match, the total games should exceed 22.5. Even a tight 2-set match (e.g., 7-6, 7-5) reaches 25 games. Bueno's tendency for long matches and Coria's resilience support this bet.
1.93
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 5 5 | 6 4 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 50% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 100% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 50% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 70% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 50% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 75% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 60% | 50% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 20% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 25% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 50% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 50% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 25% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 75% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 60% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 50% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 75% | 50% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 80% | 75% |
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