Rugby

Tennis

Zhizhen Zhang - Luciano Darderi: our prediction

14/04/2026•11:10

#45

Zhizhen Zhang

1:2

6•7

6•3

1•6

Finished

#15

Luciano Darderi

Zhizhen Zhang vs Luciano Darderi Preview — BMW Open

Luciano Darderi, the clear favorite (odds 1.32), faces Zhizhen Zhang (odds 3.29) at the BMW Open. Recent statistics show Darderi is more prone to three-set matches, while Zhang often finishes his matches in two sets when favored. No injury alerts reported.

Our Zhizhen Zhang vs Luciano Darderi predictions

Victory for Luciano Darderi

Darderi is the designated favorite (odds 1.32). His statistics show a strong tendency for close matches (60% three-set matches outside Majors as favorite), but he has a solid win rate. Against Zhang, who has a low win rate as an underdog (20%), the odds logic and recent form are in his favor.

1.33

Confidence

High

Over 2.5 sets in the match

The data is very clear: Darderi plays 60% of his matches in 3 sets outside Majors as favorite. Zhang, as an underdog, wins at least one set in 20% of cases against favorites in Darderi's odds range. The probability of a two-set match (under 2.5) is low, supported by Darderi's low percentage of two-set matches (40%) as favorite.

2.48

Confidence

High

Over 22.5 games in the match

The prediction of a three-set match (over 2.5 sets) makes over 22.5 games likely. A three-set match usually involves at least 23 games (e.g., 6-4, 4-6, 6-4 = 30 games). Given Darderi's tendency to lose sets even as a favorite (70% loses at least one set), the sets should be competitive, increasing the total number of games.

1.9

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Zhizhen Zhang vs Luciano Darderi

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Zhizhen Zhang vs Luciano Darderi Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Zhizhen Zhang	Luciano Darderi
Win \| Lose	5 5	5 5
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	50%	50%
% of match in 4 sets or more	50%	50%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	50%	66%
% of match in 4 sets or more	50%	33%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	30%	30%
% of match in 4 sets or more	70%	60%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	50%	50%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	50%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	50%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	33%	33%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	20%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	50%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	20%	16%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	100%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	20%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	50%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	20%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	100%