Rugby

Tennis

Cameron Norrie - Stan Wawrinka: our prediction

13/04/2026•16:10

#11

Cameron Norrie

2:1

6•4

6•7

6•4

Finished

Stan Wawrinka

Cameron Norrie vs Stan Wawrinka Preview — Barcelona Open

Cameron Norrie, the match favorite, faces veteran Stan Wawrinka at the Barcelona Open. Norrie, younger and in better form on clay, is slightly favored. Wawrinka, experienced but declining, could offer some resistance.

Our Cameron Norrie vs Stan Wawrinka predictions

Cameron Norrie to Win

Norrie is clearly favored (odds 1.25). He has better recent form and a win rate as favorite of 70% in his last 10 matches. Wawrinka has a win rate of only 40% over the same period. On clay, Norrie's advantage is more pronounced.

1.28

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 Sets

As the favorite, Norrie has a 70% rate of winning in 2 sets (indicator 'en2set'). Wawrinka, as the underdog, wins at least one set in 60% of cases ('win1set_asoutsider_g'), but Norrie's odds suggest a relatively clear victory. The probability of a 2-set match is high.

1.48

Confidence

High

Under 22.5 Games

If Norrie wins in 2 sets (previous prediction), the total games are very likely to stay under 22.5. Close sets are possible, but Norrie's form and low odds indicate he could control the match. Norrie's 'perd1set_asfav_g' statistic (60%) shows he often loses a set, which could increase the game count, hence medium confidence.

1.71

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Cameron Norrie vs Stan Wawrinka

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Cameron Norrie vs Stan Wawrinka Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Cameron Norrie	Stan Wawrinka
Win \| Lose	5 5	4 6
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	30%	50%
% of match in 4 sets or more	70%	50%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	40%	30%
% of match in 4 sets or more	60%	70%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	50%	40%
% of match in 4 sets or more	50%	60%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	70%	70%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	50%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	85%	100%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	33%	60%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	40%	20%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	33%	42%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	60%	0%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	80%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	33%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	71%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	80%	0%