Rugby

Tennis

Cameron Norrie - Rafael Jodar: our prediction

17/04/2026•17:50

#11

Cameron Norrie

0:2

3•6

2•6

Finished

#11

Rafael Jodar

Cameron Norrie vs Rafael Jodar Preview — Barcelona Open

Experienced Cameron Norrie, the statistical favorite, faces young and promising outsider Rafael Jodar at the Barcelona Open. The odds reflect the level difference, but Jodar has shown he can cause an upset.

Our Cameron Norrie vs Rafael Jodar predictions

Rafael Jodar to Win

Jodar is clearly the favorite (odds 1.36). His stats are solid: 90% win rate in last 10 matches, 90% win rate as favorite, and 80% of his wins in 2 sets. Norrie, struggling (40% recent losses), has little chance to win.

1.32

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 Sets

Jodar wins 80% of his matches in 2 sets. As a favorite, this rate rises to 90%. Norrie, as an outsider, wins a set in only 30% of cases. The probability of a 2-set match is very high.

1.49

Confidence

High

Under 22.5 Games

With a probable Jodar win in 2 sets (e.g., 6-3, 6-4), the total games would be 19. Jodar's stats (dominant wins) and Norrie's struggles suggest a potentially short match in terms of games.

1.68

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Cameron Norrie vs Rafael Jodar

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Cameron Norrie vs Rafael Jodar Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Cameron Norrie	Rafael Jodar
Win \| Lose	6 4	9 1
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	30%	50%
% of match in 4 sets or more	70%	50%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	40%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	60%	100%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	50%	100%
% of match in 4 sets or more	50%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	80%	90%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	87%	100%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	75%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	40%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	100%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	33%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	60%	75%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	80%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	100%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	80%	75%