Rugby

Tennis

Ignacio Buse - Corentin Moutet: our prediction

13/04/2026•11:10

#24

Ignacio Buse

0:2

4•6

Finished

#34

Corentin Moutet

Ignacio Buse vs Corentin Moutet Preview — Barcelona Open

Corentin Moutet, the favorite (odds 1.55), faces Ignacio Buse (odds 2.35) at the Barcelona Open on clay. Moutet, more experienced, is favored on paper, but statistics show Buse is a combative underdog, often winning at least one set. No injury alerts reported.

Our Ignacio Buse vs Corentin Moutet predictions

Victory for Corentin Moutet

Moutet is clearly the favorite (odds 1.55). His statistics as a favorite are solid (60% wins). He is more experienced and playing at home. Although Buse is a tough opponent, Moutet's quality and consistency should prevail on the Barcelona clay.

1.53

Confidence

High

Over 2.5 sets in the match

Ignacio Buse has a strong tendency to push his matches to 3 sets (80% of his last 10 non-Slam matches). As an underdog, he wins at least one set in 70% of cases. Moutet, although the favorite, loses a set in 50-70% of cases according to statistics. A 3-set match is therefore very likely.

2.35

Confidence

High

Over 22.5 games in the match

The probability of a 3-set match increases the chances of exceeding 22.5 games. Furthermore, Buse's statistics as an underdog show he is competitive and can create tight sets. However, a clear 2-set win for Moutet in tight sets (e.g., 7-5, 7-5 = 24 games) or a one-sided match in 2 sets (under 22 games) are also possible. Confidence is therefore medium.

1.96

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Ignacio Buse vs Corentin Moutet

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Ignacio Buse vs Corentin Moutet Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Ignacio Buse	Corentin Moutet
Win \| Lose	5 5	5 5
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	100%	60%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	40%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	30%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	70%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	100%	60%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	40%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	60%	60%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	66%	50%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	75%	66%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	60%	20%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	60%	16%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	80%	100%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	70%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	80%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	80%	100%