Rugby

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Corentin Moutet - Marco Trungelliti: our prediction

03/04/2026•12:10

#34

Corentin Moutet

1:2

6•4

3•6

4•6

Finished

#63

Marco Trungelliti

Corentin Moutet vs Marco Trungelliti Preview — Grand Prix Hassan II

Corentin Moutet, the clear favorite (odds 1.38), faces Marco Trungelliti (odds 2.97) at the Grand Prix Hassan II. Moutet, better ranked and in better recent form (4 wins in last 10 matches vs 9/10 for Trungelliti), is the logical favorite. However, Trungelliti shows definite resilience, particularly in often winning at least one set as an outsider. No known injury alerts for either player.

Our Corentin Moutet vs Marco Trungelliti predictions

Victory for Corentin Moutet

Moutet is the designated favorite (odds 1.38) and better ranked. His recent form (40% wins) is lower than Trungelliti's, but statistics show he wins 70% of the time as a favorite. He is more accustomed to this status and possesses a more complete game. No injuries reported.

1.4

Confidence

High

Over 2.5 sets (Match in 3 sets)

Player statistics as favorite/outsider suggest a close match. Moutet loses 1 set as a favorite 50% of the time. Trungelliti wins at least 1 set as an outsider 70% of the time. Their percentages of matches in 3 sets (outside Majors) are identical (40%). The probability of a straight 2-set match seems low.

2.5

Confidence

High

Over 22.5 games in the match

A match in 3 sets increases the probability of exceeding the 22.5 games mark. If Trungelliti wins a set, the sets could be tight. Moutet, although the favorite, can have dips in performance. The lack of precise data on the average number of games per match makes this prediction more speculative, but consistent with the analysis of a contested match.

2.09

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Corentin Moutet vs Marco Trungelliti

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Corentin Moutet vs Marco Trungelliti Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Corentin Moutet	Marco Trungelliti
Win \| Lose	4 6	9 1
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	60%	30%
% of match in 4 sets or more	40%	60%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	30%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	70%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	60%	16%
% of match in 4 sets or more	40%	66%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	70%	80%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	66%	100%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	66%	60%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	20%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	16%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	33%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	50%	70%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	66%	83%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	33%