Rugby

Tennis

Corentin Moutet - Lorenzo Musetti: our prediction

16/04/2026•16:05

#34

Corentin Moutet

0:2

3•6

4•6

Finished

#11

Lorenzo Musetti

Corentin Moutet vs Lorenzo Musetti Preview — Barcelona Open

Match at the Barcelona Open on clay between Corentin Moutet, the unpredictable French underdog, and Lorenzo Musetti, the Italian favorite and surface specialist. Recent statistics and odds clearly designate Musetti as the heavy favorite.

Our Corentin Moutet vs Lorenzo Musetti predictions

Lorenzo Musetti to Win

Musetti is the clear favorite (odds 1.31). He shows a 70% win rate in the last 10 matches, compared to 60% for Moutet. As a favorite, his win rate rises to 80%. A clay court specialist, his status and consistency should make the difference.

1.25

Confidence

High

Over 22.5 Games in the Match

Moutet has a 40% rate of winning at least one set as an underdog. Musetti loses a set as a favorite in 70% of cases. Even in 2 sets, Moutet's fighting style and Musetti's set loss percentages can generate tight sets, pushing the total games over 22.5.

2.42

Confidence

Medium

Under 2.5 Sets (Match in 2 Sets)

Outside Grand Slam tournaments, both players finish 70% of their matches in 2 sets. Musetti, as a favorite, wins 50% of his matches in 2 sets. The difference in level and the fast clay in Barcelona could favor a short match.

1.4

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Corentin Moutet vs Lorenzo Musetti

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Corentin Moutet vs Lorenzo Musetti Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Corentin Moutet	Lorenzo Musetti
Win \| Lose	6 4	7 3
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	60%	70%
% of match in 4 sets or more	40%	30%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	30%	40%
% of match in 4 sets or more	70%	60%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	60%	60%
% of match in 4 sets or more	40%	40%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	70%	80%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	60%	75%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	75%	100%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	20%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	16%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	50%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	40%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	75%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	50%