Rugby

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Liam Broady - Murphy Cassone: our prediction

14/04/2026•10:55

#72

Liam Broady

2:0

6•0

6•1

Finished

#209

Murphy Cassone

Liam Broady vs Murphy Cassone Preview — Busan

Liam Broady, the favorite (odds 1.63), faces Murphy Cassone (odds 2.16) in Busan. Broady shows superior recent form (80% win rate in last 10 matches) and good performance as a favorite. Cassone, less consistent (50% win rate), seems more comfortable as a favorite than as an outsider. No known injury alerts. The match is likely to be decided in two tight sets or in three sets.

Our Liam Broady vs Murphy Cassone predictions

Liam Broady to Win

Liam Broady is the clear favorite (odds 1.63) in excellent form: 8 wins in his last 10 matches (80%). He wins 80% of his matches as a favorite. Murphy Cassone wins only 10% of his matches as an outsider and has inconsistent recent form (5W/5L). The gap in level and consistency strongly favors Broady.

1.57

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 Sets in the Match

Player statistics in non-Grand Slam tournaments (sub_section: 'Grand Slam's events excluded') indicate a strong tendency for matches to end in two sets. Broady finishes 60% of his matches in 2 sets (and 40% in 3). Cassone, even more pronounced, finishes 80% of his matches in 2 sets. The probability of a match ending in two sets (2-0 or 0-2 victory) is therefore high.

1.56

Confidence

High

Under 22.5 Games in the Match

This bet is consistent with the prediction of a match in two sets (Under 2.5 sets). If Broady wins 2-0, a typical score like 6-4, 6-3 gives 19 games. Cassone, as an outsider, rarely wins a set (only 30% of the time). However, Broady loses at least one set as a favorite 50% of the time, which could lengthen the match. The balance tilts slightly towards the Under, but with a margin of error.

1.79

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Liam Broady vs Murphy Cassone

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Liam Broady vs Murphy Cassone Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Liam Broady	Murphy Cassone
Win \| Lose	8 2	5 5
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	40%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	60%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	66%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	33%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	25%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	75%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	80%	60%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	60%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	50%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	40%	10%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	100%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	60%	33%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	50%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	100%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	75%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	60%	50%