Marco Trungelliti - Hamad Medjedovic: our prediction
13/04/2026•16:25

#63

Marco Trungelliti
0:2
5•7
4•6
Finished

#43

Hamad Medjedovic
-
1
-
X
-
2
Marco Trungelliti vs Hamad Medjedovic Preview — Barcelona Open
Match at the Barcelona Open between Marco Trungelliti, an experienced underdog, and Hamad Medjedovic, a promising young favorite. Recent statistics and odds indicate a clear advantage for Medjedovic, but Trungelliti has shown his ability to win sets as an underdog.
Our Marco Trungelliti vs Hamad Medjedovic predictions
Victory for Hamad Medjedovic
Medjedovic is clearly the favorite (odds 1.33). He shows an 80% win rate in his last 10 matches and an 80% win rate as a favorite. His opponent, Trungelliti, has a low win rate as an underdog (10%). No reported injuries contradict this dynamic.
1.34
Confidence
High
Over 22.5 games in the match
The prediction of a 3-set match (over 2.5 sets) makes 'over 22.5 games' very plausible. A tight 2-set match (e.g., 7-6, 7-5) reaches 22 games. A 3-set match, even with an easy set, generally exceeds this limit. Given the players' profiles, a close match is expected.
2
Confidence
Medium
Over 2.5 sets in the match
Trungelliti wins at least 1 set as an underdog in 70% of cases. Medjedovic loses at least 1 set as a favorite in 50% of cases. Furthermore, their 'en3set' statistics (3-set matches outside Majors) are identical at 40%. This suggests a significant probability that the match goes to a 3rd set.
2.5
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Marco Trungelliti vs Hamad Medjedovic
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Marco Trungelliti vs Hamad Medjedovic Statistics
Win
Win | Lose | 8 2 | 8 2 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 30% | 20% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 60% | 70% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 25% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 62% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 16% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 66% | 100% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 90% | 80% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 80% | 66% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 10% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 50% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 0% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 50% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 66% | 75% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 50% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 50% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 50% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 60% | 33% |
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