Rugby

Tennis

Daniel Altmaier - Alex Molcan: our prediction

16/04/2026•12:35

#46

Daniel Altmaier

0:2

4•6

6•7

Finished

#44

Alex Molcan

Daniel Altmaier vs Alex Molcan Preview — BMW Open

Daniel Altmaier, the bookmakers' favorite, faces Alex Molcan at the BMW Open on clay. Altmaier shows solid form (70% wins in last 10 matches) but tends to lose sets as a favorite. Molcan, more effective as an underdog, could make the match tight.

Our Daniel Altmaier vs Alex Molcan predictions

Daniel Altmaier to Win

Altmaier is the favorite (odds 1.70) and shows a win rate of 70% in his last 10 matches, against 30% losses. As a favorite (odds 1.21-1.50), he wins 66.7% of the time. His recent form and favorite status put him in a strong position against Molcan, who has an 80% win rate but is less convincing in this specific role.

1.7

Confidence

High

Over 2.5 Sets in the Match

Statistics indicate a high probability of a 3-set match. Altmaier, as a favorite, loses at least 1 set in 80% of cases. Molcan, as an underdog, wins at least 1 set in 60% of cases. Their respective percentages of 3-set matches (outside Majors) are 40% each, but the favorite/underdog dynamic and recent trends suggest a tight contest.

2.28

Confidence

High

Over 22.5 Games in the Match

A 3-set match increases the chances of exceeding the 22.5 game mark. If Altmaier wins, he is likely to lose a set (80% probability), which often leads to close scores (e.g., 7-5, 4-6, 6-4 = 32 games). The combination of a favorite who often loses a set and a combative underdog supports this scenario.

1.87

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Daniel Altmaier vs Alex Molcan

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Daniel Altmaier vs Alex Molcan Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Daniel Altmaier	Alex Molcan
Win \| Lose	7 3	8 2
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	40%	50%
% of match in 4 sets or more	60%	50%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	28%	14%
% of match in 4 sets or more	71%	85%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	40%	60%
% of match in 4 sets or more	60%	40%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	50%	80%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	66%	100%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	33%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	30%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	50%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	40%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	66%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	50%