Rugby

Tennis

Alex Molcan - Alexander Bublik: our prediction

14/04/2026•15:40

#44

Alex Molcan

2:0

6•4

6•2

Finished

#10

Alexander Bublik

Alex Molcan vs Alexander Bublik Preview — BMW Open

Alexander Bublik, the clear favorite (odds 1.32), faces Alex Molcan (odds 3.27) at the BMW Open. Bublik shows solid form (70% win rate as favorite) and a strong tendency to finish his matches in two sets (70%). Molcan, struggling recently (20% win rate in last 10 matches), will find it hard to resist.

Our Alex Molcan vs Alexander Bublik predictions

Alexander Bublik to Win

Bublik is the undisputed favorite (odds 1.32). His recent form is superior (50% win rate in last 10 matches vs 20% for Molcan). As a favorite, he wins 70% of the time. Molcan, struggling, does not seem capable of creating an upset.

1.33

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 Sets in the Match

Bublik finishes 70% of his matches (outside Majors) in 2 sets. Molcan, on a bad day, has little chance of winning a set. The probability of a match in two sets (2-0 or 2-1 victory) is very high.

1.48

Confidence

High

Under 22.5 Games in the Match

With a probable match in two sets and Bublik dominating, the sets could be relatively tight but not necessarily very long. Bublik's tendency to finish quickly and the expected low resistance from Molcan support this bet.

1.73

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Alex Molcan vs Alexander Bublik

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Alex Molcan vs Alexander Bublik Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Alex Molcan	Alexander Bublik
Win \| Lose	8 2	5 5
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	50%	80%
% of match in 4 sets or more	50%	20%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	14%	80%
% of match in 4 sets or more	85%	20%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	60%	70%
% of match in 4 sets or more	40%	30%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	80%	70%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	50%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	66%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	33%	100%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	40%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	40%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	60%	75%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	50%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	60%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	60%	75%