Rugby

Tennis

Billy Harris - Daniel Merida Aguilar: our prediction

20/04/2026•13:55

#124

Billy Harris

0:2

3•6

5•7

Finished

#61

Daniel Merida Aguilar

Billy Harris vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Preview — Madrid Open, Qualification

Daniel Merida Aguilar, the clear favorite (odds 1.24), faces Billy Harris in the Madrid Open qualifiers. Recent statistics show Aguilar's superior form (60% win rate in last 10 matches) and a tendency for three-set matches. Harris, the underdog (odds 3.73), has the ability to win sets as an outsider, which could extend the encounter.

Our Billy Harris vs Daniel Merida Aguilar predictions

Victory for Daniel Merida Aguilar

Aguilar is the designated favorite (odds 1.24) with superior recent form (6W/4L vs 4W/6L for Harris). His statistics as a favorite (70% win rate) are solid, and he faces an opponent who loses 60% of his recent matches. No known injury alert contradicts this status.

1.23

Confidence

High

Over 2.5 sets in the match

Aguilar often loses a set as a favorite (60% of the time). Harris wins at least one set as an underdog in 50% of his recent matches. Furthermore, Aguilar plays 60% of his non-Grand Slam matches in three sets, and Harris 30%. The probability of a three-set match is high.

2.62

Confidence

High

Over 22.5 games in the match

The prediction of a three-set match (over 2.5 sets) significantly increases the probability of exceeding 22.5 games. Even a tight two-set match (e.g., 7-5, 7-5) reaches 24 games. Considering the player profiles and the tendency for competitive sets, the 22.5-game threshold is reachable.

2.14

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Billy Harris vs Daniel Merida Aguilar

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Billy Harris vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Billy Harris	Daniel Merida Aguilar
Win \| Lose	4 6	6 4
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	75%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	25%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	50%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	50%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	100%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	20%	70%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	50%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	20%	83%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	33%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	40%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	33%	37%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	0%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	50%	80%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	62%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	100%