Rugby

Tennis

Otto Virtanen - Daniel Merida Aguilar: our prediction

31/03/2026•17:45

#90

Otto Virtanen

1:2

6•7

7•5

5•7

Finished

#66

Daniel Merida Aguilar

Otto Virtanen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Preview — Bucharest Open

Otto Virtanen, the statistical favorite, faces Daniel Merida Aguilar in an ATP match on clay in Bucharest. Virtanen shows solid form (70% wins in last 10 matches) and a strong tendency to win his matches in two sets (70%). Merida Aguilar, less consistent (50% wins), often sees his matches go to three sets (60%). No known injury alerts for either player.

Our Otto Virtanen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar predictions

Otto Virtanen to Win

Otto Virtanen is in better recent form (70% wins vs 50% for Aguilar). His statistics show strong efficiency as a favorite (70% wins) and a tendency to finish quickly (70% of his matches end in 2 sets). On this surface, his profile seems more suitable.

2.85

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 Sets in the Match

Virtanen finishes 70% of his matches (excluding Grand Slams) in 2 sets. Aguilar, although having 60% of matches in 3 sets, faces an in-form and efficient opponent. The probability of a match in two sets is high, supported by Virtanen's tendency to dominate quickly.

1.52

Confidence

High

Under 22.5 Games in the Match

If the match ends in two sets as expected, the total number of games should remain low. Virtanen, in good form, can impose his pace and limit the games played. However, Aguilar can be resilient, which introduces moderate uncertainty about the exact total.

1.78

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Otto Virtanen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Otto Virtanen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Otto Virtanen	Daniel Merida Aguilar
Win \| Lose	7 3	5 5
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	40%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	50%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	28%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	71%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	70%	80%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	60%	66%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	75%	80%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	60%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	22%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	60%	0%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	70%	70%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	44%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	80%	100%