Rugby

Tennis

Otto Virtanen - Titouan Droguet: our prediction

20/04/2026•11:40

#90

Otto Virtanen

1:2

6•2

3•6

Finished

#14

Titouan Droguet

Otto Virtanen vs Titouan Droguet Preview — Madrid Open, Qualification

Madrid Open qualification match between Otto Virtanen and Titouan Droguet. Droguet is the bookmakers' favorite (odds 1.70) against Virtanen (odds 2.05). Recent statistics show that Droguet is in slightly better form (60% wins in the last 10 matches compared to 50% for Virtanen). Both players tend to play close matches, with a high probability of a 3-set match.

Our Otto Virtanen vs Titouan Droguet predictions

Over 2.5 sets in the match

Statistics indicate a strong tendency for 3-set matches. Virtanen has 50% of his non-Slam matches in 3 sets, and Droguet 70%. Furthermore, Droguet, as the favorite, loses at least one set in 70% of cases. Virtanen, as the underdog, wins at least one set in 70% of cases. This makes a 2-set match (straight-sets win) unlikely.

2.25

Confidence

High

Over 22.5 games in the match

A 3-set match significantly increases the probability of exceeding 22.5 games. Even a tight 2-set match (e.g., 7-5, 7-5) reaches 24 games. Given the players' profiles and the high probability of a 3-set match, the total number of games should be high. Caution is advised as a very tight 2-set match or a 3-set match with one-sided sets remains possible.

1.82

Confidence

Medium

Victory for Titouan Droguet

Droguet is the designated favorite (odds 1.70) and shows better recent form (60% wins vs 50%). His win rate as a favorite is 70%. However, his strong tendency to lose a set (70%) and Virtanen's ability to win one (70%) make a straight-sets victory difficult, but his overall quality should see him through in what is likely to be a long match.

1.73

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Otto Virtanen vs Titouan Droguet

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Otto Virtanen vs Titouan Droguet Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Otto Virtanen	Titouan Droguet
Win \| Lose	5 5	6 4
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	40%	25%
% of match in 4 sets or more	50%	50%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	28%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	71%	100%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	80%	70%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	80%	66%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	75%	60%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	40%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	33%	100%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	75%	42%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	70%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	100%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	100%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	75%	85%

Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite

	1	2
Global	40%	70%
rated between 1.00 and 1.20	100%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	40%	66%
rated between 1.51 and 1.80	25%	80%

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