Rugby

Tennis

Carlos Alcaraz - Otto Virtanen: our prediction

14/04/2026•16:10

Carlos Alcaraz

2:0

6•4

6•2

Finished

#90

Otto Virtanen

Carlos Alcaraz vs Otto Virtanen Preview — Barcelona Open

Carlos Alcaraz, the seeded and undisputed favorite, faces the outsider Otto Virtanen at the Barcelona Open. The difference in level and ranking is substantial. Alcaraz, a clay court specialist, is expected to win convincingly.

Our Carlos Alcaraz vs Otto Virtanen predictions

Carlos Alcaraz to Win

Alcaraz is the clear favorite (odds 1.02). His statistics as a favorite are excellent (80% wins). On clay, his preferred surface, and against a much lower-ranked opponent, his victory is very likely. No injury alerts have been reported.

1.01

Confidence

Very high

Under 2.5 Sets in the Match

The match is best of 3 sets. Alcaraz's statistics show he finishes 70% of his matches in 2 sets when favored in standard tournaments. Virtanen has a 60% rate of 2-set matches as a favorite, but only 40% as an outsider. The probability of a 2-set match is high.

1.11

Confidence

High

Market signals on Carlos Alcaraz vs Otto Virtanen

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Carlos Alcaraz vs Otto Virtanen Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Carlos Alcaraz	Otto Virtanen
Win \| Lose	7 3	6 4
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	70%	40%
% of match in 4 sets or more	30%	50%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	80%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	20%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	33%	28%
% of match in 4 sets or more	50%	71%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	80%	80%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	80%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	80%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	75%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	40%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	66%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	33%	75%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	60%	80%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	66%	100%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	83%	75%