11/04/2026

Carlos Alcaraz

15:30

Today

#23

Valentin Vacherot

Match Preview

Carlos Alcaraz, favorite and seeded player, faces Valentin Vacherot, underdog, at the Rolex Monte Carlo Masters. Alcaraz, with a very low odd, is expected for a clear win, but Vacherot could win a set.

Our predictions

Carlos Alcaraz to Win

Alcaraz is the clear favorite with an odd of 1.06. His stats show 80% win rate overall and 80% as favorite. He is far superior in ranking and clay-court experience.

1.06

Confidence

Very high

Under 2.5 Sets

Alcaraz has 70% of matches in 2 sets outside Grand Slams. As favorite, this rate is 70%. Vacherot has 40% of matches in 2 sets outside Grand Slams. The probability of a 2-set match is high.

1.22

Confidence

High

Market Signals

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Success Rate per bet

History

Surface

Win

	Carlos Alcaraz	Valentin Vacherot
Win \| Lose	8 2	7 3
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	70%	50%
% of match in 4 sets or more	30%	50%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	80%	50%
% of match in 4 sets or more	20%	50%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	33%	50%
% of match in 4 sets or more	50%	50%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	80%	100%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	80%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	100%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	100%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	40%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	33%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	33%	25%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	70%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	66%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	83%	50%

Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite

	1	2
Global	30%	30%
rated between 1.00 and 1.20	30%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	42%
rated between 1.51 and 1.80	0%	0%

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