Rugby

Tennis

Carlos Alcaraz - Jannik Sinner: our prediction

12/04/2026•15:10

Carlos Alcaraz

0:2

6•7

3•6

Finished

Jannik Sinner

Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner Preview — Rolex Monte Carlo Masters

A tight clash is expected between two of the world's best players, Alcaraz and Sinner, at the Masters 1000 on clay. Recent statistics show excellent form for both, with a slight edge for Sinner in terms of consecutive wins. No injuries reported.

Our Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner predictions

Jannik Sinner to Win

Sinner displays impeccable form with 10 wins in his last 10 matches, compared to 8/10 for Alcaraz. As a favorite, his win rate is 100% in this period. Although Alcaraz is slightly favored by the odds, Sinner's consistency and confidence are decisive.

1.87

Confidence

High

Over 2.5 Sets in the Match

Statistics indicate a high probability of a three-set match. Outside Grand Slams, Alcaraz loses at least one set 40% of the time as a favorite, and Sinner 10%. However, their rivalry and balanced level suggest a close match requiring three sets.

2.2

Confidence

High

Over 22.5 Games in the Match

A three-set match between two high-level offensive players increases the likelihood of many games. Even in two sets, tight sets are probable. The combination of their power and ability to hold serve should generate a high total number of games.

1.81

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Carlos Alcaraz	Jannik Sinner
Win \| Lose	8 2	10
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	70%	60%
% of match in 4 sets or more	30%	40%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	80%	60%
% of match in 4 sets or more	20%	40%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	33%	30%
% of match in 4 sets or more	50%	70%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	80%	100%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	80%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	40%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	25%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	33%	33%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	70%	80%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	83%	66%