Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner — Prediction
12/04/2026
#1
Carlos Alcaraz
15:00
Today
#1
Jannik Sinner
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1
-
X
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2
Match Preview
A tight clash is expected between two of the world's best players, Alcaraz and Sinner, at the Masters 1000 on clay. Recent statistics show excellent form for both, with a slight edge for Sinner in terms of consecutive wins. No injuries reported.
Our predictions
Jannik Sinner to Win
Sinner displays impeccable form with 10 wins in his last 10 matches, compared to 8/10 for Alcaraz. As a favorite, his win rate is 100% in this period. Although Alcaraz is slightly favored by the odds, Sinner's consistency and confidence are decisive.
1.91
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 Sets in the Match
Statistics indicate a high probability of a three-set match. Outside Grand Slams, Alcaraz loses at least one set 40% of the time as a favorite, and Sinner 10%. However, their rivalry and balanced level suggest a close match requiring three sets.
2.23
Confidence
High
Over 22.5 Games in the Match
A three-set match between two high-level offensive players increases the likelihood of many games. Even in two sets, tight sets are probable. The combination of their power and ability to hold serve should generate a high total number of games.
1.82
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 8 2 | 10 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 70% | 60% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 30% | 40% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 80% | 60% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 20% | 40% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 33% | 30% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 50% | 70% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 100% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 80% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 25% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 33% | 33% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 80% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 83% | 66% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 10% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 40% | 10% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 0% |
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