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Carlos Alcaraz - Tomas Etcheverry: our prediction

09/04/2026•15:45

Carlos Alcaraz

2:1

6•1

4•6

6•3

Finished

#21

Tomas Etcheverry

Carlos Alcaraz vs Tomas Etcheverry Preview — Rolex Monte Carlo Masters

Carlos Alcaraz, the favorite and seeded player, faces Tomas Etcheverry at the Rolex Monte Carlo Masters. Alcaraz, with a very low odd of 1.03, is in great form (80% recent wins) and dominates statistically. Etcheverry, the underdog (odd 12.33), shows resilience but has little chance of causing an upset on clay.

Our Carlos Alcaraz vs Tomas Etcheverry predictions

Carlos Alcaraz to Win

Alcaraz is the undisputed favorite (odd 1.03). He shows excellent form with 80% wins in his last 10 matches. As a favorite, his win rate is 80%. No injuries reported. His technical superiority and adaptation to the Monte Carlo clay should secure him the victory.

1.03

Confidence

Very high

Under 2.5 sets in the match

Excluding Grand Slams, Alcaraz finishes his matches in 2 sets 80% of the time when favorite. Etcheverry, as an outsider, loses in 2 sets 60% of the time. The difference in level suggests a short match, likely 2-0 in favor of Alcaraz.

1.14

Confidence

High

Market signals on Carlos Alcaraz vs Tomas Etcheverry

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Carlos Alcaraz vs Tomas Etcheverry Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Carlos Alcaraz	Tomas Etcheverry
Win \| Lose	8 2	7 3
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	70%	50%
% of match in 4 sets or more	30%	50%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	80%	50%
% of match in 4 sets or more	20%	50%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	33%	50%
% of match in 4 sets or more	50%	50%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	80%	100%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	80%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	100%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	100%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	40%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	14%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	33%	66%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	70%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	42%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	83%	100%