Carlos Alcaraz vs Tomas Etcheverry — Prediction
09/04/2026
#1
Carlos Alcaraz
15:00
Today
#14
Tomas Etcheverry
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1
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X
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2
Match Preview
Carlos Alcaraz, the favorite and seeded player, faces Tomas Etcheverry at the Rolex Monte Carlo Masters. Alcaraz, with a very low odd of 1.03, is in great form (80% recent wins) and dominates statistically. Etcheverry, the underdog (odd 12.33), shows resilience but has little chance of causing an upset on clay.
Our predictions
Carlos Alcaraz to Win
Alcaraz is the undisputed favorite (odd 1.03). He shows excellent form with 80% wins in his last 10 matches. As a favorite, his win rate is 80%. No injuries reported. His technical superiority and adaptation to the Monte Carlo clay should secure him the victory.
1.03
Confidence
Very high
Under 2.5 sets in the match
Excluding Grand Slams, Alcaraz finishes his matches in 2 sets 80% of the time when favorite. Etcheverry, as an outsider, loses in 2 sets 60% of the time. The difference in level suggests a short match, likely 2-0 in favor of Alcaraz.
1.15
Confidence
High
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 8 2 | 7 3 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 70% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 30% | 50% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 80% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 20% | 50% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 33% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 50% | 50% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 100% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 80% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 100% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 14% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 33% | 66% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 42% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 83% | 100% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 80% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 30% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 60% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 100% |
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