Rugby

Tennis

Roberto Bautista Agut - Thiago Agustin Tirante: our prediction

22/04/2026•15:45

Roberto Bautista Agut

0:2

2•6

4•6

Finished

#51

Thiago Agustin Tirante

Roberto Bautista Agut vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Preview — Madrid Open

Experienced Roberto Bautista Agut faces young Thiago Agustin Tirante at the Madrid Open. Bautista Agut, the favorite on paper, has solid clay-court experience, but his recent form is mixed. Tirante, the underdog, shows potential but lacks consistency. The match could be tight, with a possible straight-sets win for the favorite.

Our Roberto Bautista Agut vs Thiago Agustin Tirante predictions

Under 2.5 Sets in the Match

The data is clear: for non-Major matches, both players have a 70% rate of two-set matches in their last 10. Furthermore, as a favorite, Tirante has 60% two-set wins, and Bautista Agut, as an underdog, has 70% two-set losses. The probability of a three-set match is low (30% each).

1.57

Confidence

Very high

Under 22.5 Games in the Match

Set statistics favor a two-set match. As a favorite outside the Majors, Tirante wins 60% of his matches in straight sets, and Bautista Agut loses 70% in straight sets when an underdog. This suggests a short match, likely with a score like 6-4, 6-3, totaling under 22 games.

1.89

Confidence

High

Thiago Agustin Tirante to Win

Tirante is the bookmakers' favorite (odds 1.50). His recent stats show a win in 60% of his last 10 matches, compared to 40% for Bautista Agut. As a favorite, he wins 80% of the time. Bautista Agut, struggling recently (40% wins), might find it hard to resist.

1.5

Confidence

High

Market signals on Roberto Bautista Agut vs Thiago Agustin Tirante

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Roberto Bautista Agut vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Roberto Bautista Agut	Thiago Agustin Tirante
Win \| Lose	4 6	6 4
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	30%	50%
% of match in 4 sets or more	70%	30%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	30%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	70%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	40%	50%
% of match in 4 sets or more	60%	50%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	70%	80%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	83%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	66%	66%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	10%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	25%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	40%	70%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	50%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	83%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	33%	50%