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Cristian Garin - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina: our prediction

09/05/2026

Cristian Garin

14:00

Today

#23

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Cristian Garin vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Preview — Internazionali BNL d'Italia

First round match of the Internazionali BNL d'Italia on clay between Cristian Garin and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina. Davidovich Fokina is the favorite with odds at 1.65.

Our Cristian Garin vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina predictions

Victory of Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Davidovich Fokina is the favorite and has an 80% win rate as a favorite in his last 10 matches, compared to 60% for Garin. He is better ranked and more comfortable on clay.

1.62

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 sets

Davidovich Fokina has finished 70% of his matches (excluding Grand Slams) in 2 sets, and 90% when favorite. Garin has 40% of his matches in 2 sets. The match should end in straight sets.

1.57

Confidence

High

Under 22.5 games

With a likely win in 2 sets, the number of games should be under 22.5. Davidovich Fokina is solid and Garin may struggle to break. A controlled match.

1.65

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Cristian Garin vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Cristian Garin vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Cristian Garin	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Win \| Lose	6 4	5 5
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	50%	40%
% of match in 4 sets or more	50%	60%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	20%	30%
% of match in 4 sets or more	80%	70%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	50%	30%
% of match in 4 sets or more	50%	60%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	60%	80%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	66%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	75%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	100%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	30%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	20%	25%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	33%	20%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	60%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	40%	25%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	66%	80%

Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite

	1	2
Global	60%	40%
rated between 1.00 and 1.20	50%	33%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	50%
rated between 1.51 and 1.80	50%	0%

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