Xinyu Gao - Lucia Bronzetti: our prediction
09/06/2026•15:05

#165

Xinyu Gao
1:2
6•4
3•6
1•6
Finished

#49

Lucia Bronzetti
-
1
-
X
-
2
Xinyu Gao vs Lucia Bronzetti Preview — Modena
Match of the Modena tournament between Xinyu Gao and Lucia Bronzetti. Bronzetti is the favorite with odds at 1.48, while Gao is the underdog at 2.52. Bronzetti has a better win rate (60% vs 20%) and is particularly solid as a favorite (80% wins). Gao struggles to win but often manages to take a set as an underdog (60%).
Our Xinyu Gao vs Lucia Bronzetti predictions
Lucia Bronzetti Victory
Bronzetti is clearly the favorite with odds at 1.48. She has a 60% win rate in her last 10 matches, compared to only 20% for Gao. As a favorite, Bronzetti wins 80% of her matches, a very solid number. Gao, on the other hand, has won only 2 of her last 10 matches and has a low win rate as an underdog (30%). Bronzetti is also confident in this odds category (between 1.21 and 1.5) with 100% wins.
1.45
Confidence
Very high
Under 2.5 sets in the match
As mentioned, Bronzetti often wins in 2 sets (70% of her matches). Gao also frequently loses in 2 sets (70% as an underdog). The probability of the match going beyond 2 sets is therefore low, making the bet 'Under 2.5 sets' very relevant.
1.47
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games in the match
Bronzetti often finishes her matches in 2 sets (70% of her non-Grand Slam matches). As a favorite, she even wins 80% of her matches in 2 sets. Gao, on the other hand, often loses in 2 sets (70% of her matches as an underdog). The combination of a solid favorite and an underdog who loses quickly suggests a short match, with under 22.5 games.
1.57
Confidence
High
Market signals on Xinyu Gao vs Lucia Bronzetti
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Xinyu Gao vs Lucia Bronzetti Statistics
Win
Win | Lose | 2 8 | 6 4 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 10% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 20% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 80% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 50% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 25% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 50% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 10% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 16% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 33% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 16% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 66% | 0% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 30% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 50% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 75% | 25% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 75% | 50% |
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