Leeds United - Wolverhampton Wanderers: our prediction
18/04/2026•16:00
Leeds United
3:0
(2:0)
Finished
Wolverhampton Wanderers
-
1
-
X
-
2
Leeds United vs Wolverhampton Wanderers Preview — Premier League
Leeds United hosts Wolverhampton Wanderers in a Premier League match. Leeds is the bookmakers' favorite with odds at 1.6, but their recent form is mixed with only 2 wins in their last 10 matches. Wolverhampton, on the other hand, shows solid away defense. The match could be tight with few goals.
Our Leeds United vs Wolverhampton Wanderers predictions
Under 2.5 goals in the match
In the last 10 matches, Leeds recorded under 2.5 goals in 60% of cases (6/10) and Wolverhampton in 40% (4/10). Both teams have relatively solid defenses, Leeds keeping 3 clean sheets and Wolverhampton also 3. The tendency for draws (6/10 for Leeds) and low offensive efficiency (only 2 wins for Leeds, 3 for Wolverhampton) suggest a low-scoring match.
1.98
Confidence
High
Leeds United scores under 1.5 goals
Leeds scored under 1.5 goals in 60% of their last 10 matches (6/10). Their attack is not prolific with only 2 wins and a tendency for draws. The main scorers (Calvert-Lewin, Okafor with 3 goals each) are not consistently decisive. Facing a Wolverhampton defense that conceded under 1.5 goals in 60% of matches (6/10), Leeds should struggle to score more than one goal.
1.6
Confidence
High
Draw
Leeds drew in 60% of their last 10 matches (6/10), while Wolverhampton drew in 30% (3/10). The poor offensive performance of both teams (Leeds: 2 wins, Wolverhampton: 3 wins) and defensive solidity (3 clean sheets each) make the draw scenario plausible. Leeds, although favorite, struggles to win as favorite (only 1 win in 5 matches as favorite).
4.2
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Leeds United vs Wolverhampton Wanderers
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Leeds United vs Wolverhampton Wanderers Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 2 6 2 | 3 3 4 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 80% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite | 20% | 100% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 80% | 56% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 20% | 22% |
Win by being an outsider | 20% | 22% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 40% 60% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 40% 60% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 60% 40% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
Leading at half-time | 40% 60% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 30% | 20% |
2nd half | 40% | 70% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 60% 40% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 40% 60% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 20% 80% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 40% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 40% 60% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dominic Calvert-Lewin | 50% (5/10) | 20% (2/10) | Adam Armstrong |
| Noah Okafor | 38% (3/8) | 10% (1/10) | Hee-Chan Hwang |
| Ao Tanaka | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Santiago Bueno |
| Anton Stach | 17% (1/6) | 10% (1/10) | Rodrigo Gomes |
| Brenden Aaronson | 10% (1/10) | 11% (1/9) | Andre |
| Sean Longstaff | 11% (1/9) | 10% (1/10) | Tolu Arokodare |
| Wilfried Gnonto | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Mateus Mane |
| James Justin | 10% (1/10) | ||
| Pascal Struijk | 10% (1/10) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dominic Calvert-Lewin | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽6 | ⚽⚽2 | Adam Armstrong |
| Noah Okafor | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽1 | Hee-Chan Hwang |
| Wilfried Gnonto | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Mateus Mane |
| James Justin | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Andre |
| Anton Stach | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Tolu Arokodare |
| Brenden Aaronson | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Rodrigo Gomes |
| Sean Longstaff | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Santiago Bueno |
| Pascal Struijk | ⚽1 | ||
| Ao Tanaka | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 90% | 70% |
Over corners 7.5 | 90% | 50% |
Over corners 8.5 | 60% | 50% |
Over corners 9.5 | 40% | 50% |
Over corners 10.5 | 40% | 20% |
Over corners 11.5 | 20% | 10% |
Over corners 12.5 | 20% | 10% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 80% | 30% |
Over corners 3.5 | 70% | 10% |
Over corners 4.5 | 60% | 10% |
Over corners 5.5 | 40% | 0% |
Over corners 6.5 | 30% | 0% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 80% | 100% |
1.5 | 70% | 90% |
2.5 | 40% | 20% |
3.5 | 20% | 10% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Lineups
Leeds United
3-4-2-1CoachDaniel Farke
Starting XI
Substitutes
Wolverhampton Wanderers
3-4-2-1CoachRob Edwards
Starting XI
Substitutes
Ranking by bet
| # | Team | Success | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  | Arsenal | 68%(26/38) |
| 2 |  | Manchester City | 61%(23/38) |
| 3 |  | Manchester United | 53%(20/38) |
| 4 |  | Aston Villa | 50%(19/38) |
| 5 |  | Liverpool | 45%(17/38) |
| 6 |  | Fulham | 39%(15/38) |
| 7 |  | Chelsea | 37%(14/38) |
| 8 |  | Sunderland | 37%(14/38) |
| 9 |  | Brentford | 37%(14/38) |
| 10 |  | Brighton & Hove Albion | 37%(14/38) |
| 11 |  | Newcastle United | 37%(14/38) |
| 12 |  | AFC Bournemouth | 34%(13/38) |
| 13 |  | Everton | 34%(13/38) |
| 14 | | Leeds United | 29%(11/38) |
| 15 |  | Crystal Palace | 29%(11/38) |
| 16 |  | Nottingham Forest | 29%(11/38) |
| 17 |  | Tottenham Hotspur | 26%(10/38) |
| 18 |  | West Ham United | 26%(10/38) |
| 19 |  | Burnley | 11%(4/38) |
| 20 | | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 8%(3/38) |
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