Leeds United - Burnley: our prediction
01/05/2026•21:00
Leeds United
3:1
(1:0)
Finished
Burnley
-
1
-
X
-
2
Leeds United vs Burnley Preview — Premier League
Leeds United, heavy favorite with odds of 1.36, hosts Burnley (odds 8.25) in a Premier League match. Leeds has a 30% win rate in their last 10 games, while Burnley has won only once in their last 10 away games. Both teams tend to score, but Leeds seems to have the home advantage.
Our Leeds United vs Burnley predictions
Burnley to score under 1.5 goals
Burnley has shown a glaring offensive weakness away from home. In their last 10 matches, they have scored under 1.5 goals in 80% of cases (8 out of 10 matches). Furthermore, Leeds has managed to keep a clean sheet on 4 occasions in their last 10 matches. Leeds' defense, combined with Burnley's poor offensive form, makes it very likely that Burnley will not score more than one goal.
1.36
Confidence
High
Under 3.5 goals in the match
Statistics show that 80% of Leeds United matches and 60% of Burnley matches have had under 3.5 goals. Leeds has a relatively solid defense at home, with 4 clean sheets in their last 10 matches. Burnley, for its part, struggles to score away from home (only 6 matches with more than 0.5 goals for the team). Combined with the expected dominance of Leeds, the match should be controlled and low-scoring.
1.42
Confidence
High
Leeds United to Win
Leeds United is the logical favorite with odds of 1.36. At home, they have shown solid form, with 3 wins in their last 5 matches at Elland Road. Burnley, on the other hand, is struggling away from home with only one win in their last 10 away games. Leeds' statistics as a favorite (odds between 1.21 and 1.50) show a 100% success rate (2 wins out of 2). Furthermore, Burnley has lost 7 of their last 10 matches. A Leeds victory seems very likely.
1.39
Confidence
High
Market signals on Leeds United vs Burnley
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Leeds United vs Burnley Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 3 4 3 | 1 2 7 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 80% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite | 40% | 0% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 60% | 33% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 20% | 11% |
Win by being an outsider | 20% | 11% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 40% 60% | 10% 90% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 30% 70% | 60% 30% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 40% 60% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 40% 60% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 60% 40% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Leading at half-time | 40% 60% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 50% | 30% |
2nd half | 30% | 30% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 50% 50% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 20% 80% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 100% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 50% 50% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dominic Calvert-Lewin | 50% (5/10) | 44% (4/9) | Zian Flemming |
| Noah Okafor | 38% (3/8) | 10% (1/10) | Jaidon Anthony |
| Wilfried Gnonto | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Loum Tchaouna |
| James Justin | 10% (1/10) | ||
| Pascal Struijk | 10% (1/10) | ||
| Ao Tanaka | 10% (1/10) | ||
| Anton Stach | 17% (1/6) | ||
| Brenden Aaronson | 10% (1/10) | ||
| Sean Longstaff | 11% (1/9) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dominic Calvert-Lewin | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽6 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Zian Flemming |
| Noah Okafor | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽1 | Loum Tchaouna |
| Brenden Aaronson | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Jaidon Anthony |
| Sean Longstaff | ⚽1 | ||
| Pascal Struijk | ⚽1 | ||
| Ao Tanaka | ⚽1 | ||
| Wilfried Gnonto | ⚽1 | ||
| James Justin | ⚽1 | ||
| Anton Stach | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 100% | 100% |
Over corners 7.5 | 100% | 100% |
Over corners 8.5 | 70% | 90% |
Over corners 9.5 | 60% | 80% |
Over corners 10.5 | 50% | 50% |
Over corners 11.5 | 20% | 50% |
Over corners 12.5 | 20% | 30% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 90% | 90% |
Over corners 3.5 | 80% | 70% |
Over corners 4.5 | 60% | 50% |
Over corners 5.5 | 30% | 30% |
Over corners 6.5 | 20% | 20% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 80% | 90% |
1.5 | 70% | 60% |
2.5 | 30% | 10% |
3.5 | 10% | 10% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Lineups
Leeds United
3-5-2CoachDaniel Farke
Starting XI
Substitutes
Burnley
5-4-1CoachMike Jackson
Starting XI
Substitutes
Ranking by bet
| # | Team | Success | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  | Arsenal | 68%(26/38) |
| 2 |  | Manchester City | 61%(23/38) |
| 3 |  | Manchester United | 53%(20/38) |
| 4 |  | Aston Villa | 50%(19/38) |
| 5 |  | Liverpool | 45%(17/38) |
| 6 |  | Fulham | 39%(15/38) |
| 7 |  | Chelsea | 37%(14/38) |
| 8 |  | Sunderland | 37%(14/38) |
| 9 |  | Brentford | 37%(14/38) |
| 10 |  | Brighton & Hove Albion | 37%(14/38) |
| 11 |  | Newcastle United | 37%(14/38) |
| 12 |  | AFC Bournemouth | 34%(13/38) |
| 13 |  | Everton | 34%(13/38) |
| 14 | | Leeds United | 29%(11/38) |
| 15 |  | Crystal Palace | 29%(11/38) |
| 16 |  | Nottingham Forest | 29%(11/38) |
| 17 |  | Tottenham Hotspur | 26%(10/38) |
| 18 |  | West Ham United | 26%(10/38) |
| 19 | | Burnley | 11%(4/38) |
| 20 |  | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 8%(3/38) |
Guide complet des paris sportifs - Premier League
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Présentation de la compétition
Premier League est l'une des compétitions majeures de England. Avec son histoire riche et son niveau de jeu élevé, elle offre de nombreuses opportunités pour les parieurs avertis.
Types de paris populaires
Les paris les plus populaires dans cette compétition incluent :
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- Paris combinés
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- Paris sur les buteurs
Facteurs clés à considérer
Pour réussir vos paris sur Premier League, prenez en compte ces éléments essentiels :
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- Blessures et suspensions
- Conditions météorologiques
- Enjeux du match
Stratégies de paris recommandées
Nos experts recommandent les stratégies suivantes pour cette compétition :
- Analyse approfondie des statistiques
- Suivi des tendances de marché
- Gestion rigoureuse de bankroll
- Diversification des types de paris
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