Celta Vigo - Deportivo Alaves: our prediction
22/03/2026•16:15
Celta Vigo
3:4
(3:1)
Finished
Deportivo Alaves
-
1
-
X
-
2
Celta Vigo vs Deportivo Alaves Preview — LaLiga
Celta Vigo hosts Deportivo Alaves in La Liga. Celta is the bookmakers' favorite with odds at 1.9. In their last 10 matches, both teams have a similar record in attack (7 times both teams score) and defense (5 times over 2.5 goals per match). Celta is stronger at home, while Alaves struggles away.
Our Celta Vigo vs Deportivo Alaves predictions
Celta Vigo to Win
Celta Vigo is favored at home (odds 1.9). In the last 10 matches, Celta has won 5 times compared to 2 for Alaves. At home, Celta is stronger (50% wins in the last 10). Alaves, away, has won only 1 of its last 10 away matches. Celta's attack (Ferran Jutgla, 4 goals) can make the difference against an Alaves defense that has kept no clean sheets in its last 10 matches.
1.95
Confidence
High
Both Teams to Score
In the last 10 matches, both Celta Vigo and Deportivo Alaves have seen both teams score in 70% of cases (7/10). Celta's defense has kept only 3 clean sheets, Alaves' none. The attacks are active: Celta has scored at least one goal in 9/10 recent matches (over 1.5 goals), Alaves in 7/10. With scorers like Jutgla (Celta) and Boye (Alaves), a goal exchange is likely.
1.93
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 Goals in the Match
Statistics from the last 10 matches show that Celta Vigo exceeded 2.5 goals in 50% of cases (5/10), as did Deportivo Alaves (5/10). Celta's attack is reliable (9/10 matches with over 1.5 goals), and Alaves has scored in 7/10 matches. The low frequency of clean sheets (Celta 3/10, Alaves 0/10) suggests both teams can concede. However, the match could also be tight, hence medium confidence.
2.15
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Celta Vigo vs Deportivo Alaves
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Celta Vigo vs Deportivo Alaves Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 5 3 2 | 2 3 5 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 80% | 67% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 33% | 33% |
Win by being a favorite | 60% | 33% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 80% | 43% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 40% | 14% |
Win by being an outsider | 40% | 14% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 30% 70% | 100% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 70% 30% | 70% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 40% 60% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 70% 30% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
Leading at half-time | 40% 60% | 40% 60% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 20% | 20% |
2nd half | 60% | 50% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 90% 10% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 10% 90% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 100% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 100% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Borja Iglesias | 30% (3/10) | 70% (7/10) | Antonio Martinez |
| Williot Swedberg | 22% (2/9) | 20% (2/10) | Ibrahim Diabate |
| Hugo Alvarez | 13% (1/8) | 29% (2/7) | Lucas Boye |
| Ferran Jutgla | 10% (1/10) | 11% (1/9) | Abderrahman Rebbach |
| Iago Aspas | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Antonio Blanco |
| Ilaix Moriba | 11% (1/9) | 10% (1/10) | Nahuel Tenaglia |
10% (1/10) | Angel Perez |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Borja Iglesias | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽9 | Antonio Martinez |
| Williot Swedberg | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Lucas Boye |
| Ferran Jutgla | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Ibrahim Diabate |
| Hugo Alvarez | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Abderrahman Rebbach |
| Ilaix Moriba | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Nahuel Tenaglia |
| Iago Aspas | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Angel Perez |
⚽1 | Antonio Blanco |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 80% | 80% |
Over corners 7.5 | 40% | 60% |
Over corners 8.5 | 30% | 60% |
Over corners 9.5 | 20% | 40% |
Over corners 10.5 | 10% | 30% |
Over corners 11.5 | 10% | 30% |
Over corners 12.5 | 10% | 10% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 70% | 70% |
Over corners 3.5 | 60% | 50% |
Over corners 4.5 | 50% | 50% |
Over corners 5.5 | 50% | 40% |
Over corners 6.5 | 20% | 10% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 90% | 90% |
1.5 | 60% | 70% |
2.5 | 30% | 40% |
3.5 | 20% | 30% |
4.5 | 20% | 10% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Lineups
Celta Vigo
3-4-3CoachClaudio Giraldez
Starting XI
Substitutes
Deportivo Alaves
4-4-2CoachQuique Sanchez Flores
Starting XI
Substitutes
Ranking by bet
| # | Team | Success | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  | Barcelona | 82%(31/38) |
| 2 |  | Real Madrid | 71%(27/38) |
| 3 |  | Villarreal | 58%(22/38) |
| 4 |  | Atletico Madrid | 55%(21/38) |
| 5 |  | Real Betis | 39%(15/38) |
| 6 |  | Getafe | 39%(15/38) |
| 7 | | Celta Vigo | 37%(14/38) |
| 8 |  | Valencia | 34%(13/38) |
| 9 |  | Athletic Bilbao | 34%(13/38) |
| 10 |  | Sevilla | 32%(12/38) |
| 11 |  | Espanyol | 32%(12/38) |
| 12 |  | Rayo Vallecano | 32%(12/38) |
| 13 | | Deportivo Alaves | 29%(11/38) |
| 14 |  | Real Sociedad | 29%(11/38) |
| 15 |  | Levante | 29%(11/38) |
| 16 |  | Osasuna | 29%(11/38) |
| 17 |  | Mallorca | 29%(11/38) |
| 18 |  | Elche | 26%(10/38) |
| 19 |  | Girona | 24%(9/38) |
| 20 |  | Real Oviedo | 16%(6/38) |
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