Atletico Madrid - Celta Vigo: our prediction
09/05/2026•18:30
Atletico Madrid
0:1
(0:0)
Finished
Celta Vigo
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1
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X
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2
Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo Preview — LaLiga
Atletico Madrid hosts Celta Vigo in a LaLiga match. The Colchoneros are favorites with odds of 2.06, but their recent form is mixed with only 3 wins in the last 10 games. Celta Vigo, on the other hand, has a record of 3 wins in 10 games. Both teams tend to score, with 'Both Teams to Score' occurring 7 times out of 10 for Atletico and 6 times out of 10 for Celta. The match promises to be tight.
Our Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo predictions
Both teams to score
Performance analysis shows that Atletico Madrid has seen both teams score in 70% of its last 10 matches, while Celta Vigo is at 60%. Both teams have defensive difficulties, with Atletico keeping a clean sheet only 2 times and Celta 1 time in their last 10 games. Additionally, key attackers like Julian Alvarez (Atletico) and Ferran Jutgla (Celta) are in form. The 'Both teams to score' bet is therefore very likely.
1.57
Confidence
High (65 %)
Over 2.5 goals in the match
Statistics show a trend towards high-scoring matches. Atletico Madrid has seen over 2.5 goals in 60% of its last 10 matches, and Celta Vigo in 70%. Combined with the high probability that both teams will score (BTS indicator at 70% for Atletico and 60% for Celta), the total goals should exceed 2.5. Both teams have shown an ability to score and concede goals recently.
1.64
Confidence
High (65 %)
Atletico Madrid to win
Although Atletico Madrid is the favorite, their recent form is worrying with only 3 wins in the last 10 matches. However, they are playing at home and have a quality squad. Celta Vigo also has 3 wins in 10, but has lost 6 times. Atletico has a slight advantage, but confidence is moderate due to their inconsistency. The 'Atletico Madrid to win' bet is plausible but not guaranteed.
1.84
Confidence
Medium (50 %)
Market signals on Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 3 2 5 | 3 1 6 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 100% | 25% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 50% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 100% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite | 50% | 25% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 38% | 50% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 25% | 33% |
Win by being an outsider | 25% | 33% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 70% 30% | 60% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 40% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 50% 50% | 60% 40% |
Leading at half-time | 10% 90% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 60% | 50% |
2nd half | 20% | 20% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 90% 10% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 60% 40% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 90% 10% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 50% 50% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 10% 90% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Ademola Lookman | 38% (3/8) | 30% (3/10) | Borja Iglesias |
| Nico Gonzalez | 50% (2/4) | 22% (2/9) | Williot Swedberg |
| Julian Alvarez | 50% (2/4) | 10% (1/10) | Ferran Jutgla |
| Alexander Soerloth | 25% (2/8) | 11% (1/9) | Ilaix Moriba |
| Marc Pubill | 10% (1/10) | 13% (1/8) | Hugo Alvarez |
| Iker Luque | 17% (1/6) | 10% (1/10) | Iago Aspas |
| Thiago Almada | 13% (1/8) | ||
| Miguel Llorente | 17% (1/6) | ||
| Alejandro Baena | 11% (1/9) | ||
| Antoine Griezmann | 10% (1/10) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Soerloth | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Borja Iglesias |
| Nico Gonzalez | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽2 | Ferran Jutgla |
| Ademola Lookman | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽2 | Williot Swedberg |
| Julian Alvarez | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Ilaix Moriba |
| Alejandro Baena | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Iago Aspas |
| Antoine Griezmann | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Hugo Alvarez |
| Iker Luque | ⚽1 | ||
| Marc Pubill | ⚽1 | ||
| Thiago Almada | ⚽1 | ||
| Miguel Llorente | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 90% | 50% |
Over corners 7.5 | 60% | 30% |
Over corners 8.5 | 40% | 20% |
Over corners 9.5 | 40% | 10% |
Over corners 10.5 | 30% | 10% |
Over corners 11.5 | 20% | 10% |
Over corners 12.5 | 10% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 60% | 80% |
Over corners 3.5 | 40% | 70% |
Over corners 4.5 | 40% | 30% |
Over corners 5.5 | 30% | 20% |
Over corners 6.5 | 10% | 0% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 80% | 90% |
1.5 | 70% | 70% |
2.5 | 50% | 50% |
3.5 | 20% | 30% |
4.5 | 10% | 20% |
5.5 | 10% | 10% |
Lineups
Atletico Madrid
4-4-2CoachDiego Simeone
Starting XI
Substitutes
Celta Vigo
3-4-2-1CoachClaudio Giraldez
Starting XI
Substitutes
Ranking by bet
| # | Team | Success | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  | Barcelona | 82%(31/38) |
| 2 |  | Real Madrid | 71%(27/38) |
| 3 |  | Villarreal | 58%(22/38) |
| 4 | | Atletico Madrid | 55%(21/38) |
| 5 |  | Real Betis | 39%(15/38) |
| 6 |  | Getafe | 39%(15/38) |
| 7 | | Celta Vigo | 37%(14/38) |
| 8 |  | Valencia | 34%(13/38) |
| 9 |  | Athletic Bilbao | 34%(13/38) |
| 10 |  | Sevilla | 32%(12/38) |
| 11 |  | Espanyol | 32%(12/38) |
| 12 |  | Rayo Vallecano | 32%(12/38) |
| 13 |  | Deportivo Alaves | 29%(11/38) |
| 14 |  | Real Sociedad | 29%(11/38) |
| 15 |  | Levante | 29%(11/38) |
| 16 |  | Osasuna | 29%(11/38) |
| 17 |  | Mallorca | 29%(11/38) |
| 18 |  | Elche | 26%(10/38) |
| 19 |  | Girona | 24%(9/38) |
| 20 |  | Real Oviedo | 16%(6/38) |
Guide complet des paris sportifs - LaLiga
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Présentation de la compétition
LaLiga est l'une des compétitions majeures de Spain. Avec son histoire riche et son niveau de jeu élevé, elle offre de nombreuses opportunités pour les parieurs avertis.
Types de paris populaires
Les paris les plus populaires dans cette compétition incluent :
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Facteurs clés à considérer
Pour réussir vos paris sur LaLiga, prenez en compte ces éléments essentiels :
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- Blessures et suspensions
- Conditions météorologiques
- Enjeux du match
Stratégies de paris recommandées
Nos experts recommandent les stratégies suivantes pour cette compétition :
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- Suivi des tendances de marché
- Gestion rigoureuse de bankroll
- Diversification des types de paris
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